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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:15 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:15 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Norwood Flames (w) - Istern Meveriks

Basketball
Norwood Flames (w)
Norwood Flames (w)
100 : 88
Finished
Istern Meveriks
Istern Meveriks
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Norwood Flames (w) — 52%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norwood Flames (w) - Istern Meveriks July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Norwood Flames (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / 2 2.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 52.3%
2 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

9Wins2
75.0%Win %16.7%
82.7Points per game72.8
86.3Offensive rating73.3
76.0Defensive rating83.3
9.9Point differential-9.9
51.0Assists53.4
124.9Rebounds118.4
36.9%3-pointers, %31.3%

Team form

Norwood Flames (w)
Overall LLWLW Net -5.3
Home LWLW Net -8.5
Away LL Net -2.0
Istern Meveriks
Overall LWLLW Net -12.4
Home WLW Net -5.0
Away LLW Net -19.8

Team stats

Norwood Flames (w) Overall · Home/Away Istern Meveriks
37.5%H 37.5% · A 37.5%Win %37.5%H 37.5% · A 37.5%
-5.3H -8.5 · A -2.0Point differential-12.4H -5.0 · A -19.8
83.7H 82.8 · A 84.6Points per game89.9H 85.9 · A 94.0
86.3H 87.0 · A 85.6Conceded96.1H 88.4 · A 103.9
45.3%H 47.5% · A 43.0%FG, %49.6%H 48.8% · A 50.4%
25.0H 12.5 · A 37.51st half31.3H 37.5 · A 25.0
77.7H 73.3 · A 82.0Pace83.1H 81.9 · A 84.3
109.5H 116.1 · A 103.7Offensive rating108.4H 110.4 · A 106.4
113.0H 119.7 · A 106.9Defensive rating115.8H 118.0 · A 113.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Norwood Flames (w) Total (over) Istern Meveriks
83.7 Points per game 89.9
50.0%
O 83.5
62.5%
43.8%
O 84.5
62.5%
37.5%
O 85.5
62.5%
37.5%
O 86.5среднее
62.5%
31.3%
O 87.5
56.3%
31.3%
O 88.5
56.3%
25.0%
O 89.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 90.5
43.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Norwood Flames (w) Total (over) Istern Meveriks
6.3%
O 109.5
12.5%
6.3%
O 110.5
12.5%
6.3%
O 111.5
12.5%
6.3%
O 112.5
12.5%
6.3%
O 113.5
12.5%
6.3%
O 114.5
6.3%
6.3%
O 115.5
6.3%
6.3%
O 116.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Norwood Flames (w) 42.1 / Istern Meveriks 43.9

Norwood Flames (w) Total (over) Istern Meveriks
37.5%
O 41.5
68.8%
31.3%
O 42.5среднее
62.5%
31.3%
O 43.5
62.5%
25.0%
O 44.5
43.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Norwood Flames (w) 43.2 / Istern Meveriks 44.3

Norwood Flames (w) Total (over) Istern Meveriks
56.3%
O 42.5
68.8%
50.0%
O 43.5среднее
50.0%
50.0%
O 44.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 45.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:15 UTC
Match center

Norwood Flames (w) - Istern Meveriks

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 176.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 176.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 176.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
2.02 49.5%
Match center
Norwood Flames (w)
L W
13.06 08:15 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames (w) 67:74 Styurt SeybrsStyurt Seybrs
31.05 03:15 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames (w) 102:92 Southern TigersSouthern Tigers
1 Wins
1 Losses
84.5 Scored
83.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Istern Meveriks
L W
13.06 08:45 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Istern Meveriks 81:103 West Adelaide BearcatsWest Adelaide Bearcats
31.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Istern Meveriks 105:93 North Adelaide RocketsNorth Adelaide Rockets
1 Wins
1 Losses
93.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage