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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
31.05.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
31.05.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Sturt Sabres - Central Districts Lions

Basketball
Sturt Sabres
Sturt Sabres
84 : 81
Finished
Central Districts Lions
Central Districts Lions

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturt Sabres - Central Districts Lions May 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sturt Sabres. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 82.7%
2 17.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sturt Sabres
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.3points against 83.7
Central Districts Lions
3-2WLWWL
points for 90.5points against 92.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Sturt Sabres - Central Districts Lions

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 141.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 142.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.05 48.8%
1.92 52.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.02 49.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.10 47.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.92 52.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.65 60.6%
2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 141.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 142.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 143.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 144.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 145.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 146.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 147.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 148.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 150.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 151.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 152.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 154.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
5.20 19.2%