PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Canberra Gunners - Norths Bears

Basketball
Canberra Gunners
Canberra Gunners
77 : 93
Finished
Norths Bears
Norths Bears
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Norths Bears — 88%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Canberra Gunners — odds 11.00 · edge +3.3% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canberra Gunners - Norths Bears July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Norths Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 11.60 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 8.3%
2 91.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
81.0Points per game63.0
100.9Offensive rating108.2
78.5Defensive rating139.1
18.0Point differential-18.0
48.0Assists39.0
72.0Rebounds150.0
30.0%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Canberra Gunners
Overall LLLLW Net +7.1
Home LLW Net +10.8
Away LLW Net +3.8
Norths Bears
Overall LWWWL Net +21.6
Home WWL Net +26.4
Away LWW Net +15.4

Team stats

Canberra Gunners Overall · Home/Away Norths Bears
58.8%H 62.5% · A 55.6%Win %81.3%H 88.9% · A 71.4%
7.1H 10.8 · A 3.8Point differential21.6H 26.4 · A 15.4
84.1H 84.5 · A 83.8Points per game88.2H 90.6 · A 85.1
80.6H 79.1 · A 81.9Conceded77.4H 77.3 · A 77.4
44.3%H 44.6% · A 44.0%FG, %49.1%H 47.3% · A 51.4%
58.8H 62.5 · A 55.61st half62.5H 66.7 · A 57.1
72.5H 64.6 · A 80.3Pace72.8H 75.4 · A 69.4
118.1H 134.1 · A 105.7Offensive rating121.5H 116.9 · A 128.0
113.1H 128.5 · A 101.3Defensive rating106.6H 102.6 · A 112.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Canberra Gunners Total (over) Norths Bears
84.1 Points per game 88.2
41.2%
O 82.5
75.0%
41.2%
O 83.5
68.8%
41.2%
O 84.5
68.8%
41.2%
O 85.5
62.5%
41.2%
O 86.5srednee
62.5%
35.3%
O 87.5
50.0%
35.3%
O 88.5
43.8%
35.3%
O 89.5
43.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Canberra Gunners Total (over) Norths Bears
17.6%
O 104.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 105.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 106.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 107.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 108.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 109.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 110.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 111.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Canberra Gunners 42.2 / Norths Bears 41.6

Canberra Gunners Total (over) Norths Bears
52.9%
O 40.5
56.3%
52.9%
O 41.5srednee
56.3%
35.3%
O 42.5
50.0%
35.3%
O 43.5
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Canberra Gunners 41.0 / Norths Bears 45.8

Canberra Gunners Total (over) Norths Bears
52.9%
O 41.5
75.0%
52.9%
O 42.5
75.0%
41.2%
O 43.5srednee
75.0%
35.3%
O 44.5
75.0%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Canberra Gunners - Norths Bears

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 market consensus · line only
1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 154.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Over 154.5 — 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 155.5 1.83 54.6% — —
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 154.5 — 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 155.5 1.83 54.6% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 11.60 8.6%
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Canberra Gunners
W W L L W
14.06 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Canberra Gunners 81:70 Sazerland Sharks (Zh)Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Canberra Gunners 83:77 Illavara Khoks (Zh)Illavara Khoks (Zh)
05.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Canberra Gunners 79:80 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
04.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Canberra Gunners 71:93 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
31.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Canberra Gunners 109:81 Hornsby S.Hornsby S.
3 Wins
2 Losses
84.6 Scored
80.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Norths Bears
W W W
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears 113:67 Penrit Panters (Zh)Penrit Panters (Zh)
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears 76:72 Maitland Mustangs (Zh)Maitland Mustangs (Zh)
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears 92:66 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
93.7 Scored
68.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage