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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
05.07.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Illawarra Hawks Waratah - Sydney Comets

Basketball
Illawarra Hawks Waratah
Illawarra Hawks Waratah
71 : 87
Finished
Sydney Comets
Sydney Comets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Illawarra Hawks Waratah - Sydney Comets July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sydney Comets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / 2 1.66

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 42.1%
2 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
100.0Points per game76.5
109.8Offensive rating80.8
84.0Defensive rating105.6
23.5Point differential-23.5
76.5Assists46.5
123.0Rebounds133.5
38.0%3-pointers, %25.5%

Team form

Illawarra Hawks Waratah
Overall LWLWW Net +24.8
Home WWW Net +37.7
Away LLW Net +16.2
Sydney Comets
Overall WLLLL Net +1.3
Home WL Net +11.3
Away LLLL Net -8.8

Team stats

Illawarra Hawks Waratah Overall · Home/Away Sydney Comets
80.0%H 100.0% · A 66.7%Win %43.8%H 62.5% · A 25.0%
24.8H 37.7 · A 16.2Point differential1.3H 11.3 · A -8.8
97.9H 102.3 · A 94.9Points per game75.8H 76.8 · A 74.9
85.5H 83.5 · A 86.8Conceded75.2H 71.1 · A 79.3
46.7%H 48.2% · A 45.8%FG, %44.4%H 44.8% · A 44.1%
73.3A 55.61st half56.3H 62.5 · A 50.0
77.9H 84.6 · A 73.5Pace73.3H 74.4 · A 72.1
125.2H 115.5 · A 132.6Offensive rating103.4H 102.0 · A 104.8
109.3H 100.9 · A 115.8Defensive rating102.6H 101.2 · A 104.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Illawarra Hawks Waratah Total (over) Sydney Comets
97.9 Points per game 75.8
93.3%
O 83.5
37.5%
86.7%
O 84.5
37.5%
86.7%
O 85.5
31.3%
86.7%
O 86.5среднее
25.0%
86.7%
O 87.5
18.8%
86.7%
O 88.5
18.8%
86.7%
O 89.5
12.5%
86.7%
O 90.5
12.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Illawarra Hawks Waratah Total (over) Sydney Comets
26.7%
O 105.5
0.0%
26.7%
O 106.5
0.0%
20.0%
O 107.5
0.0%
20.0%
O 108.5
0.0%
20.0%
O 109.5
0.0%
20.0%
O 110.5
0.0%
6.7%
O 111.5
0.0%
6.7%
O 112.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Illawarra Hawks Waratah 50.4 / Sydney Comets —

Illawarra Hawks Waratah Total (over) Sydney Comets
86.7%
O 42.5
43.8%
80.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
80.0%
O 44.5
18.8%
66.7%
O 45.5среднее
18.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Illawarra Hawks Waratah 46.6 / Sydney Comets —

Illawarra Hawks Waratah Total (over) Sydney Comets
73.3%
O 40.5
31.3%
73.3%
O 41.5
25.0%
73.3%
O 42.5
25.0%
73.3%
O 43.5среднее
18.8%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Illawarra Hawks Waratah
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Sydney Comets
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Illawarra Hawks Waratah
144 points/match (over 4)
  • Scores: 68.8
  • Concedes: 75.2
Sydney Comets
141.2 points/match (over 9)
  • Scores: 62.7
  • Concedes: 78.6
Total line: 142.5 · projection from form: 142.6 · Over in 38% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Illawarra Hawks Waratah - Sydney Comets

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 144.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.88 53.2% — —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% — —
1.79 55.9% — —
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% — —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 142.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% —
Over 144.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 142.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% —
Under 144.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.28 43.9%
1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Illawarra Hawks Waratah
L L W L
04.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks Waratah 64:76 Olberi Uodonga (Zh)Olberi Uodonga (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks Waratah 77:83 Kanberra (Zh)Kanberra (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks Waratah 70:66 Olberi Uodonga (Zh)Olberi Uodonga (Zh)
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks Waratah 64:76 Nyukasl (Zh)Nyukasl (Zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
68.8 Scored
75.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Sydney Comets
L L L L
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets 69:79 Maitland Mustangs (Zh)Maitland Mustangs (Zh)
31.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets 60:80 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets 63:70 Sazerland Sharks (Zh)Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets 48:81 Olberi Uodonga (Zh)Olberi Uodonga (Zh)
0 Wins
4 Losses
60.0 Scored
77.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage