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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Manli Varringa (Zh) - Sazerland Sharks (Zh)

Basketball
Manli Varringa (Zh)
Manli Varringa (Zh)
92 : 52
Finished
Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Manli Varringa (Zh) — 89%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manli Varringa (Zh) - Sazerland Sharks (Zh) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Manli Varringa (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.07 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.5%
1 91.1%
2 8.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
104.0Points per game75.0
139.8Offensive rating88.2
100.8Defensive rating122.3
29.0Point differential-29.0
84.0Assists45.0
—Rebounds108.0
32.0%3-pointers, %25.0%

Team form

Manli Varringa (Zh)
Overall WLWWW Net +6.8
Home WLW Net +11.3
Away WWL Net +0.9
Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
Overall WLLLL Net -30.5
Home LL Net -37.1
Away WLLL Net -24.8

Team stats

Manli Varringa (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
62.5%H 66.7% · A 57.1%Win %13.3%H 0.0% · A 25.0%
6.8H 11.3 · A 0.9Point differential-30.5H -37.1 · A -24.8
85.6H 89.3 · A 80.9Points per game78.1H 72.7 · A 82.8
82.3H 83.7 · A 80.4Conceded93.3H 91.3 · A 95.1
43.3%H 44.6% · A 41.7%FG, %37.3%H 37.7% · A 37.0%
56.3H 55.6 · A 57.11st half26.7H 14.3 · A 37.5
77.3H 79.4 · A 74.6Pace81.8H 78.3 · A 84.9
110.2H 107.4 · A 114.1Offensive rating96.1H 100.1 · A 92.8
105.9H 103.1 · A 109.6Defensive rating114.9H 119.7 · A 110.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Manli Varringa (Zh) Total (over) Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
85.6 Points per game 78.1
75.0%
O 78.5
46.7%
75.0%
O 79.5
40.0%
75.0%
O 80.5
40.0%
68.8%
O 81.5среднее
33.3%
62.5%
O 82.5
33.3%
50.0%
O 83.5
33.3%
50.0%
O 84.5
26.7%
50.0%
O 85.5
26.7%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Manli Varringa (Zh) Total (over) Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
18.8%
O 101.5
6.7%
18.8%
O 102.5
6.7%
18.8%
O 103.5
6.7%
6.3%
O 104.5
6.7%
6.3%
O 105.5
6.7%
6.3%
O 106.5
6.7%
0.0%
O 107.5
6.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Manli Varringa (Zh) 40.3 / Sazerland Sharks (Zh) —

Manli Varringa (Zh) Total (over) Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
43.8%
O 40.5среднее
26.7%
43.8%
O 41.5
13.3%
43.8%
O 42.5
13.3%
37.5%
O 43.5
13.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Manli Varringa (Zh) 45.4 / Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 41.1

Manli Varringa (Zh) Total (over) Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
68.8%
O 41.5
40.0%
68.8%
O 42.5
40.0%
62.5%
O 43.5среднее
40.0%
56.3%
O 44.5
40.0%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Manli Varringa (Zh) - Sazerland Sharks (Zh)

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Over 146.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9% —
— 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2% — —
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% —
— 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% — —
— 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 144.5 — 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6%
Over 146.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 148.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 144.5 — 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
Under 146.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 147.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 148.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.07 93.5%
9.20 10.9% 11.00 9.1% 9.80 10.2%
Match center
Manli Varringa (Zh)
W W W W
14.06 01:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Manli Varringa (Zh) 87:61 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
13.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Manli Varringa (Zh) 83:70 Olberi Uodonga (Zh)Olberi Uodonga (Zh)
30.05 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Manli Varringa (Zh) 71:54 Khills Khornets
24.05 01:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Manli Varringa (Zh) 71:61 Maitland Mustangs (Zh)Maitland Mustangs (Zh)
4 Wins
0 Losses
78.0 Scored
61.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
L L W W W
14.06 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 70:81 Kanberra (Zh)Kanberra (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 97:98 Hornsby S.Hornsby S.
31.05 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 88:56 Penrit Panters (Zh)Penrit Panters (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 70:63 Sydney CometsSydney Comets
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Sazerland Sharks (Zh) 88:64 Tsentral Kost (Zh)Tsentral Kost (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
82.6 Scored
72.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage