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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Tsentral Kost (Zh) - Hornsby S.

Basketball
Tsentral Kost (Zh)
Tsentral Kost (Zh)
64 : 79
Finished
Hornsby S.
Hornsby S.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tsentral Kost (Zh) - Hornsby S. July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tsentral Kost (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins1
50.0%Win %50.0%
79.0Points per game75.5
111.9Offensive rating104.1
106.9Defensive rating109.0
3.5Point differential-3.5
43.5Assists52.5
115.5Rebounds132.0
32.0%3-pointers, %34.0%

Team form

Tsentral Kost (Zh)
Overall WLWLW Net -13.1
Home WLLW Net -18.2
Away WL Net -6.6
Hornsby S.
Overall LWWWW Net -4.2
Home WWW Net +14.3
Away LWW Net -20.7

Team stats

Tsentral Kost (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Hornsby S.
37.5%H 33.3% · A 42.9%Win %52.9%H 75.0% · A 33.3%
-13.1H -18.2 · A -6.6Point differential-4.2H 14.3 · A -20.7
78.4H 77.6 · A 79.4Points per game85.2H 88.0 · A 82.7
84.9H 86.7 · A 82.7Conceded87.3H 80.9 · A 93.0
44.5%H 44.0% · A 45.1%FG, %46.7%H 46.0% · A 47.3%
25.0H 22.2 · A 28.61st half41.2H 50.0 · A 33.3
75.2H 75.9 · A 74.3Pace79.3H 80.9 · A 77.9
103.7H 101.3 · A 107.1Offensive rating108.5H 107.8 · A 109.2
112.4H 109.8 · A 116.0Defensive rating111.2H 110.4 · A 111.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Tsentral Kost (Zh) Total (over) Hornsby S.
78.4 Points per game 85.2
43.8%
O 78.5
64.7%
43.8%
O 79.5
64.7%
37.5%
O 80.5
64.7%
37.5%
O 81.5srednee
64.7%
31.3%
O 82.5
64.7%
31.3%
O 83.5
64.7%
12.5%
O 84.5
58.8%
12.5%
O 85.5
52.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Tsentral Kost (Zh) Total (over) Hornsby S.
6.3%
O 101.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 102.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 103.5
11.8%
6.3%
O 104.5
5.9%
0.0%
O 105.5
5.9%
0.0%
O 106.5
5.9%
0.0%
O 107.5
5.9%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Tsentral Kost (Zh) — / Hornsby S. 43.7

Tsentral Kost (Zh) Total (over) Hornsby S.
37.5%
O 40.5
76.5%
31.3%
O 41.5
70.6%
25.0%
O 42.5
64.7%
12.5%
O 43.5srednee
47.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Tsentral Kost (Zh) 41.0 / Hornsby S. 40.8

Tsentral Kost (Zh) Total (over) Hornsby S.
62.5%
O 40.5srednee
64.7%
56.3%
O 41.5
58.8%
43.8%
O 42.5
41.2%
18.8%
O 43.5
41.2%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Tsentral Kost (Zh) - Hornsby S.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 140.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 141.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.78 56.2% — —
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.92 52.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% — —
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 140.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 141.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Over 142.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 143.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 144.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 145.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 146.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 147.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 151.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% —
Over 152.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Over 156.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% —
Under 152.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 156.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.42 70.4%
2.65 37.7%
Match center
Tsentral Kost (Zh)
L L L W L
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Tsentral Kost (Zh) 53:92 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Tsentral Kost (Zh) 52:94 Bankstown BruinsBankstown Bruins
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Tsentral Kost (Zh) 41:100 Kanberra (Zh)Kanberra (Zh)
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Tsentral Kost (Zh) 71:59 Penrit Panters (Zh)Penrit Panters (Zh)
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Tsentral Kost (Zh) 64:88 Sazerland Sharks (Zh)Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
56.2 Scored
86.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Hornsby S.
L W L W W
14.06 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. 62:94 Nyukasl (Zh)Nyukasl (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. 98:97 Sazerland Sharks (Zh)Sazerland Sharks (Zh)
31.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. 81:109 Kanberra (Zh)Kanberra (Zh)
24.05 01:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. 90:79 FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)FFA Central of Eksellens (Zh)
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. 95:83 Kanberra (Zh)Kanberra (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
85.2 Scored
92.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage