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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Central Coast Crusaders - Hornsby S.

Basketball
Central Coast Crusaders
Central Coast Crusaders
89 : 99
Finished
Hornsby S.
Hornsby S.
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Hornsby S. — odds 2.56 · edge +11.3% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Coast Crusaders - Hornsby S. July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Central Coast Crusaders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / 2 2.39

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 59.8%
2 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins1
66.7%Win %33.3%
87.3Points per game82.7
115.4Offensive rating104.9
109.3Defensive rating110.8
4.7Point differential-4.7
52.0Assists46.0
143.0Rebounds105.0
42.0%3-pointers, %42.7%

Team form

Central Coast Crusaders
Overall LWWWW Net -4.2
Home WWW Net +14.3
Away LWW Net -20.7
Hornsby S.
Overall WLLWW Net -14.3
Home LLW Net -30.7
Away WWL Net +6.9

Team stats

Central Coast Crusaders Overall · Home/Away Hornsby S.
52.9%H 75.0% · A 33.3%Win %31.3%H 11.1% · A 57.1%
-4.2H 14.3 · A -20.7Point differential-14.3H -30.7 · A 6.9
85.2H 88.0 · A 82.7Points per game82.1H 79.2 · A 85.9
87.3H 80.9 · A 93.0Conceded89.3H 94.6 · A 82.4
46.7%H 46.0% · A 47.3%FG, %46.3%H 44.2% · A 49.0%
41.2H 50.0 · A 33.31st half31.3H 22.2 · A 42.9
79.3H 80.9 · A 77.9Pace78.5H 78.4 · A 78.7
108.5H 107.8 · A 109.2Offensive rating104.5H 104.1 · A 104.8
111.2H 110.4 · A 111.9Defensive rating113.5H 113.2 · A 113.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Central Coast Crusaders Total (over) Hornsby S.
85.2 Points per game 82.1
64.7%
O 80.5
43.8%
64.7%
O 81.5
43.8%
64.7%
O 82.5
43.8%
64.7%
O 83.5srednee
43.8%
58.8%
O 84.5
37.5%
52.9%
O 85.5
37.5%
47.1%
O 86.5
37.5%
41.2%
O 87.5
37.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Central Coast Crusaders Total (over) Hornsby S.
11.8%
O 101.5
12.5%
11.8%
O 102.5
12.5%
11.8%
O 103.5
12.5%
5.9%
O 104.5
6.3%
5.9%
O 105.5
6.3%
5.9%
O 106.5
6.3%
5.9%
O 107.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 108.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Central Coast Crusaders 43.7 / Hornsby S. 40.1

Central Coast Crusaders Total (over) Hornsby S.
76.5%
O 40.5
50.0%
70.6%
O 41.5srednee
50.0%
64.7%
O 42.5
43.8%
47.1%
O 43.5
37.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Central Coast Crusaders 40.8 / Hornsby S. 41.3

Central Coast Crusaders Total (over) Hornsby S.
64.7%
O 40.5
43.8%
58.8%
O 41.5srednee
43.8%
41.2%
O 42.5
43.8%
41.2%
O 43.5
37.5%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Central Coast Crusaders
  • Sentral-Kost
  • Founded in 2006
Hornsby S.
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Central Coast Crusaders - Hornsby S.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.79 55.9% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.84 54.4% 1.95 51.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 60.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 61.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 151.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 153.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% —
Over 172.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 173.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 171.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
Under 172.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 173.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1%
2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.39 41.8%
Match center
Central Coast Crusaders
W W W W W
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders 98:83 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
31.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders 86:79 Bankstown BruinsBankstown Bruins
30.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders 88:73 KanberraKanberra
24.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders 71:59 Penrit PantersPenrit Panters
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders 104:99 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
5 Wins
0 Losses
89.4 Scored
78.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Hornsby S.
L W W L W
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Hornsby S. 89:104 NyukaslNyukasl
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Hornsby S. 95:87 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Hornsby S. 109:108 KanberraKanberra
24.05 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Hornsby S. 60:70 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
23.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Hornsby S. 73:63 KanberraKanberra
3 Wins
2 Losses
85.2 Scored
86.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage