Match center
Start
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. NBL 1
Inner West Bulls - Newcastle Falcons
79
:
92
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
2Newcastle Falcons — odds 2.40 · edge +13.9% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Inner West Bulls - Newcastle Falcons July 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Newcastle Falcons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
8.4%
2
91.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Inner West Bulls
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 64.8points against 98.1
Newcastle Falcons
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Inner West Bulls - Newcastle Falcons
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1
1.66
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 131.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | — | — | |
| — | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.89 52.9% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | — | 1.47 68.0% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.45 69.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 131.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 132.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 133.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 134.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 135.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 137.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 138.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| Over 139.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 140.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 142.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 144.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 145.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 146.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 163.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | 1.65 60.6% | 11.00 9.1% | 1.71 58.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.01 99.0% | 2.19 45.7% |
Match center
Inner West Bulls
L
L
L
L
Inner West Bulls
72:91
Meytland Mustangs
Inner West Bulls
74:82
Khills Khornets
Inner West Bulls
62:79
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
Inner West Bulls
45:96
Bankstown Bruins
Bankstown Bruins
0
Wins
4
Losses
63.3
Scored
87.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Newcastle Falcons
W
L
L
L
Newcastle Falcons
104:89
Hornsby S.
Hornsby S.
Newcastle Falcons
78:85
Bankstown Bruins
Bankstown Bruins
Newcastle Falcons
58:87
FFA Central of Eksellens
FFA Central of Eksellens
Newcastle Falcons
69:94
Illavara Khoks 2
Illavara Khoks 2
1
Wins
3
Losses
77.3
Scored
88.8
Conceded
25%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyInner West Bulls - Newcastle Falcons
Inner West Bulls
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals