Match center
Start
05.07.2026 03:30 UTC
05.07.2026 03:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. NBL 1
Inner West Bulls - Sutherland Sharks
69
:
97
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Inner West Bulls - Sutherland Sharks July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sutherland Sharks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
8.4%
2
91.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Inner West Bulls
Overall
LLWWL
Net -5.8
Home
LL
Net -16.3
Away
LWWL
Net +1.6
Sutherland Sharks
Overall
WLWLW
Net +25.8
Home
WWW
Net +38.0
Away
LLW
Net +16.2
Team stats
Inner West Bulls
Overall · Home/Away
Sutherland Sharks
47.1%H 28.6% · A 60.0%Win %81.3%H 100.0% · A 66.7%
-5.8H -16.3 · A 1.6Point differential25.8H 38.0 · A 16.2
80.8H 79.7 · A 81.6Points per game97.6H 101.0 · A 94.9
83.7H 87.9 · A 80.8Conceded84.7H 82.0 · A 86.8
44.5%H 44.9% · A 44.2%FG, %47.1%H 48.9% · A 45.8%
29.4H 28.6 · A 30.01st half75.0A 55.6
76.7H 76.8 · A 76.6Pace78.0H 83.9 · A 73.5
103.7H 102.1 · A 104.8Offensive rating124.5H 115.8 · A 132.1
107.4H 105.8 · A 108.6Defensive rating108.1H 100.6 · A 114.7
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Inner West Bulls
Total (over)
Sutherland Sharks
80.8
Points per game
97.6
35.3%
O 85.5
87.5%
29.4%
O 86.5
87.5%
29.4%
O 87.5
87.5%
29.4%
O 88.5
87.5%
29.4%
O 89.5srednee
87.5%
17.6%
O 90.5
87.5%
11.8%
O 91.5
81.3%
11.8%
O 92.5
75.0%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Inner West Bulls
Total (over)
Sutherland Sharks
5.9%
O 105.5
25.0%
5.9%
O 106.5
25.0%
5.9%
O 107.5
18.8%
0.0%
O 108.5
18.8%
0.0%
O 109.5
18.8%
0.0%
O 110.5
18.8%
0.0%
O 111.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 112.5
6.3%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Inner West Bulls — / Sutherland Sharks 50.6
Inner West Bulls
Total (over)
Sutherland Sharks
35.3%
O 43.5
81.3%
23.5%
O 44.5
81.3%
17.6%
O 45.5
68.8%
11.8%
O 46.5srednee
68.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Inner West Bulls 41.7 / Sutherland Sharks 46.1
Inner West Bulls
Total (over)
Sutherland Sharks
52.9%
O 42.5
68.8%
47.1%
O 43.5srednee
68.8%
29.4%
O 44.5
56.3%
23.5%
O 45.5
50.0%
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Inner West Bulls
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Sutherland Sharks
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Inner West Bulls
162.8 points/match (over 10)
- Scores: 71.2
- Concedes: 91.6
Sutherland Sharks
170 points/match (over 6)
- Scores: 90.2
- Concedes: 79.8
Total line: 169.5 · projection from form: 166.4 · Over in 44% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Inner West Bulls - Sutherland Sharks
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1
2.17
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 149.5
1.72
Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.70 58.8% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 170.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 169.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 170.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 2.22 45.1% | |
| 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.69 59.2% |
Match center
Inner West Bulls
L
L
L
L
L
Inner West Bulls
79:92
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Nyukasl
Inner West Bulls
72:91
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Inner West Bulls
74:82
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Inner West Bulls
62:79
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
Inner West Bulls
45:96
Bankstown Bruins
Bankstown Bruins
0
Wins
5
Losses
66.4
Scored
88.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Sutherland Sharks
W
W
L
W
W
Sutherland Sharks
88:63
Manli Varringa
Manli Varringa
Sutherland Sharks
78:75
Kanberra
Kanberra
Sutherland Sharks
87:95
Hornsby S.
Hornsby S.
Sutherland Sharks
102:80
Penrit Panters
Penrit Panters
Sutherland Sharks
87:62
Sydney Comets
Sydney Comets
4
Wins
1
Losses
88.4
Scored
75.0
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyInner West Bulls - Sutherland Sharks
Inner West Bulls
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals