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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Kanberra - Norths Bears

Basketball
Kanberra
Kanberra
70 : 81
Finished
Norths Bears
Norths Bears
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Norths Bears — 89%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kanberra - Norths Bears July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norths Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
81.0Points per game63.0
100.9Offensive rating108.2
78.5Defensive rating139.1
18.0Point differential-18.0
48.0Assists39.0
72.0Rebounds150.0
30.0%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Kanberra
Overall LLLLW Net +7.1
Home LLW Net +10.8
Away LLW Net +3.8
Norths Bears
Overall LWWWL Net +21.6
Home WWL Net +26.4
Away LWW Net +15.4

Team stats

Kanberra Overall · Home/Away Norths Bears
58.8%H 62.5% · A 55.6%Win %81.3%H 88.9% · A 71.4%
7.1H 10.8 · A 3.8Point differential21.6H 26.4 · A 15.4
84.1H 84.5 · A 83.8Points per game88.2H 90.6 · A 85.1
80.6H 79.1 · A 81.9Conceded77.4H 77.3 · A 77.4
44.3%H 44.6% · A 44.0%FG, %49.1%H 47.3% · A 51.4%
58.8H 62.5 · A 55.61st half62.5H 66.7 · A 57.1
72.5H 64.6 · A 80.3Pace72.8H 75.4 · A 69.4
118.1H 134.1 · A 105.7Offensive rating121.5H 116.9 · A 128.0
113.1H 128.5 · A 101.3Defensive rating106.6H 102.6 · A 112.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Kanberra Total (over) Norths Bears
84.1 Points per game 88.2
41.2%
O 82.5
75.0%
41.2%
O 83.5
68.8%
41.2%
O 84.5
68.8%
41.2%
O 85.5
62.5%
41.2%
O 86.5srednee
62.5%
35.3%
O 87.5
50.0%
35.3%
O 88.5
43.8%
35.3%
O 89.5
43.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Kanberra Total (over) Norths Bears
17.6%
O 104.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 105.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 106.5
6.3%
11.8%
O 107.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 108.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 109.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 110.5
0.0%
5.9%
O 111.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Kanberra 42.2 / Norths Bears 41.6

Kanberra Total (over) Norths Bears
52.9%
O 40.5
56.3%
52.9%
O 41.5srednee
56.3%
35.3%
O 42.5
50.0%
35.3%
O 43.5
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Kanberra 41.0 / Norths Bears 45.8

Kanberra Total (over) Norths Bears
52.9%
O 41.5
75.0%
52.9%
O 42.5
75.0%
41.2%
O 43.5srednee
75.0%
35.3%
O 44.5
75.0%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Kanberra
  • Kanberra
  • Founded in 1984
Norths Bears
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Kanberra - Norths Bears

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.40 71.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 154.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 155.5 1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Over 158.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Over 159.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 160.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 154.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 155.5 1.83 54.6% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 10.90 9.2%
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Kanberra
L L W W L
14.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Kanberra 75:78 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Kanberra 93:102 Illavara Khoks 2Illavara Khoks 2
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Kanberra 75:62 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
04.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Kanberra 76:73 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Kanberra 108:109 Hornsby S.Hornsby S.
2 Wins
3 Losses
85.4 Scored
84.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Norths Bears
W W L
13.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Norths Bears 85:77 Penrit PantersPenrit Panters
30.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Norths Bears 99:86 Meytland Mustangs
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Norths Bears 61:87 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
2 Wins
1 Losses
81.7 Scored
83.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKanberra - Norths Bears

Kanberra
0 matches total
Norths Bears
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history