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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
23.05.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets

Basketball
M
Maitland Mustangs
82 : 76
Finished
H
Hills Hornets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maitland Mustangs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

3Wins3
70.2Points on average66.8

Head-to-head matches: 6 · average total 137.0 (points)

Team form

Maitland Mustangs
6-4LWLWLLWWWW
points for 77.7points against 68.7
Hills Hornets
5-5LWLLLWLWWW
points for 83.3points against 76.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.45 40.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.65 37.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.70 58.8%
2.40 41.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.20 45.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 139.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 140.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 141.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 142.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 143.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 144.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 145.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 146.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 147.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 150.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 151.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 152.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 153.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 154.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%