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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Newcastle Falcons - Illavara Khoks 2

Basketball
Newcastle Falcons
Newcastle Falcons
69 : 94
Finished
Illavara Khoks 2
Illavara Khoks 2

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle Falcons - Illavara Khoks 2 May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Illavara Khoks 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 13.9%
2 86.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Newcastle Falcons

no data

Illavara Khoks 2
3-7LWWLWLLLLL
points for 70.4points against 83.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Newcastle Falcons - Illavara Khoks 2

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 164.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.60 38.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.78 56.2%
2.02 49.5%
1.55 64.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 163.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 164.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 165.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 166.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 167.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 168.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 169.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 170.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 172.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 173.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 174.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 175.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 176.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 177.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 178.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 179.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 180.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.50 15.4%
1.05 95.2%