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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
30.05.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
30.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs

Basketball
Norths Bears
Norths Bears
99 : 86
Finished
M
Maitland Mustangs

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norths Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Norths Bears
3-2LWWWL
points for 88.2points against 77.4
Maitland Mustangs
6-4LWLWLLWWWW
points for 77.7points against 68.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs

Array

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.35 42.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.57 63.7%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.02 49.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.55 39.2%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.18 45.9%
1.73 57.8%
1.48 67.6%
1.47 68.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 101.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 102.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 103.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 104.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 127.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 128.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 129.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 130.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 131.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 132.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 133.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 134.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 135.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 136.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 137.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 138.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 139.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Norths Bears
L
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Norths Bears 61:87 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
0 Wins
1 Losses
61.0 Scored
87.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Maitland Mustangs
W W
24.05 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Maitland Mustangs 85:61 Manli VarringaManli Varringa
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East
Maitland Mustangs 82:76 Khills Khornets
2 Wins
0 Losses
83.5 Scored
68.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage