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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
18.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

Basketball
Mandurah Magic
Mandurah Magic
23 : 12
Finished
Perry Lakes Hawks
Perry Lakes Hawks
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mandurah Magic — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mandurah Magic): model 62% · market 28% Δ +34 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mandurah Magic ✓ Pick65.5%
market28%
2 · Perry Lakes Hawks34.5%
market72%

Model estimate: win Mandurah Magic 65.5%, win Perry Lakes Hawks 34.5%. Model favourite — Mandurah Magic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mandurah Magic (odds1.83) Score 81:79 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mandurah Magic: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Perry Lakes Hawks: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • • Model backs Mandurah Magic: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Perry Lakes Hawks.

Line favourite Fonbet: Perry Lakes Hawks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.35 / 2 1.28
  • Glicko: Mandurah Magic 65.5% / Perry Lakes Hawks 34.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 27.6%
2 72.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.09 → 1.09
Winner 2 6.00 → 6.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mandurah Magic
5-0WWWWW
points for 86.5points against 80.9
Perry Lakes Hawks
3-2LWWWL
points for 95.6points against 95.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 23:12
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mandurah Magic 65.8% 65.5% market and model agree
Perry Lakes Hawks 34.2% 34.5%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 65.5% / 34.5% probabilities
Rating 1,599 / 1,419 Mandurah Magic / Perry Lakes Hawks
RD 122 / 109 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,354-1,843 / 1,200-1,638 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 34.5%
1 3.35 Fonbet · weak value +119.3% · model 65.5%
Total
Over 165.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 165.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 167.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 195.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 196.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Under 165.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 166.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 167.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 195.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 196.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
3.35 29.9% 2.05 48.8%
1.28 78.1% 1.81 55.3%
Match center
Mandurah Magic
W W L W W
17.07 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic 92:53 Perth RedbacksPerth Redbacks
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic 116:68 Willetton TigersWilletton Tigers
03.07 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic 66:103 Cockburn Cougars (Zh)Cockburn Cougars (Zh)
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic 101:97 Perry Lakes HawksPerry Lakes Hawks
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic 93:63 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
4 Wins
1 Losses
93.6 Scored
76.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Perry Lakes Hawks
L L L W L
17.07 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 80:91 Cockburn Cougars (Zh)Cockburn Cougars (Zh)
11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 84:91 Goldfields GiantsGoldfields Giants
09.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 78:87 Rockingham FlamesRockingham Flames
04.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 89:88 Perth RedbacksPerth Redbacks
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 97:101 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
1 Wins
4 Losses
85.6 Scored
91.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

Mandurah Magic
1 matches total
Perry Lakes Hawks
Mandurah Magic: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Perry Lakes Hawks: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Mandurah Magic 101:97 (13.06 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 198 goals (101:97, 13.06 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Mandurah Magic
101:97
Perry Lakes Hawks