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Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Australia: NBL1 West - Women
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Perth Redbacks - Perry Lakes Hawks

Basketball
Perth Redbacks
Perth Redbacks
88 : 89
Finished
Perry Lakes Hawks
Perry Lakes Hawks
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Perry Lakes Hawks — odds 1.77 · edge +4.2% · 2 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Perth Redbacks - Perry Lakes Hawks July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Perry Lakes Hawks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.95 / 2 1.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 31.4%
2 68.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
50.0%Win %50.0%
80.0Points per game82.0
90.8Offensive rating80.7
93.0Defensive rating78.7
-2.0Point differential2.0
42.0Assists56.3
124.5Rebounds125.3
34.3%3-pointers, %24.0%

Team form

Perth Redbacks
Overall WWWWL Net -2.4
Home WWL Net +4.9
Away WWL Net -9.7
Perry Lakes Hawks
Overall LWLWW Net -3.9
Home WLL
Away LWW Net -8.3

Team stats

Perth Redbacks Overall · Home/Away Perry Lakes Hawks
42.9%H 57.1% · A 28.6%Win %26.7%H 25.0% · A 28.6%
-2.4H 4.9 · A -9.7Point differential-3.9H 0.0 · A -8.3
84.7H 87.0 · A 82.4Points per game79.5H 83.0 · A 75.4
85.9H 84.6 · A 87.3Conceded81.4H 83.0 · A 79.6
47.0%H 47.3% · A 46.7%FG, %45.9%H 45.4% · A 46.4%
42.9H 42.9 · A 42.91st half26.7H 50.0 · A 0.0
72.8H 72.6 · A 73.0Pace78.2H 80.3 · A 75.8
117.2H 118.0 · A 116.5Offensive rating100.5H 98.7 · A 102.6
118.9H 119.7 · A 118.1Defensive rating102.9H 101.1 · A 105.1

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Perth Redbacks Total (over) Perry Lakes Hawks
84.7 Points per game 79.5
64.3%
O 78.5
60.0%
64.3%
O 79.5
53.3%
64.3%
O 80.5
46.7%
64.3%
O 81.5
46.7%
57.1%
O 82.5srednee
40.0%
50.0%
O 83.5
40.0%
35.7%
O 84.5
33.3%
35.7%
O 85.5
26.7%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Perth Redbacks Total (over) Perry Lakes Hawks
14.3%
O 110.5
0.0%
14.3%
O 111.5
0.0%
14.3%
O 112.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 113.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 114.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 115.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 116.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 117.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Perth Redbacks 44.5 / Perry Lakes Hawks —

Perth Redbacks Total (over) Perry Lakes Hawks
57.1%
O 40.5
40.0%
50.0%
O 41.5
33.3%
50.0%
O 42.5
33.3%
50.0%
O 43.5srednee
26.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Perth Redbacks — / Perry Lakes Hawks —

Perth Redbacks Total (over) Perry Lakes Hawks
35.7%
O 40.5
46.7%
21.4%
O 41.5
40.0%
21.4%
O 42.5
26.7%
14.3%
O 43.5
20.0%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Perth Redbacks
  • Belmont
  • Founded in 1989
Perry Lakes Hawks
  • Bendat Basketball Centre (Floreat) · 2 000 seats
  • Founded in 1989

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Perth Redbacks - Perry Lakes Hawks

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 164.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 81.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 83.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 85.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 86.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 92.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 93.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 94.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 95.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 163.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 191.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 192.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 193.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 163.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 191.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 192.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 193.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.95 33.9% 2.19 45.7%
1.35 74.1% 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Perth Redbacks
W W W L
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perth Redbacks 84:68 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
12.06 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perth Redbacks 82:75 Kalamunda Eastern SunsKalamunda Eastern Suns
05.06 08:20 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perth Redbacks 128:79 South West SlammersSouth West Slammers
22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perth Redbacks 84:96 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
3 Wins
1 Losses
94.5 Scored
79.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Perry Lakes Hawks
L W L
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 97:101 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 80:61 South West SlammersSouth West Slammers
22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West - Women
Perry Lakes Hawks 82:84 East Perth EaglesEast Perth Eagles
1 Wins
2 Losses
86.3 Scored
82.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage