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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
31.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators

Basketball
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers
108 : 88
Finished
Warwick Senators
Warwick Senators

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators May 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9
Warwick Senators
0-5LLLLL
points for 70.7points against 94.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators

Array

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.53 65.4%
1.43 69.9%
1.45 69.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.55 39.2%
2.50 40.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.65 60.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.43 69.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 101.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 103.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 105.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 108.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 109.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 110.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 180.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 181.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 182.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 183.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 184.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 185.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 186.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 187.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 188.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 189.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Geraldton Buccaneers
W
24.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers 102:100 Lakeside LightningLakeside Lightning
1 Wins
0 Losses
102.0 Scored
100.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Warwick Senators
W L
29.05 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Warwick Senators 104:96 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
23.05 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Warwick Senators 76:99 Rockingham FlamesRockingham Flames
1 Wins
1 Losses
90.0 Scored
97.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage