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Australia: NBL1 West
Australia: NBL1 West
24.05.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
24.05.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning - Geraldton Buccaneers

Basketball
Lakeside Lightning
Lakeside Lightning
100 : 102
Finished
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lakeside Lightning - Geraldton Buccaneers May 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / 2 1.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 25.7%
2 74.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Lakeside Lightning
3-2LLWWW
points for 85.3points against 90.3
Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Lakeside Lightning - Geraldton Buccaneers

Array

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 172.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.45 40.8%
2.18 45.9%
2.35 42.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8%
2.10 47.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.32 75.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 172.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 173.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 174.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 175.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 178.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 179.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 180.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 181.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 182.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 183.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 184.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 185.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 186.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 187.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 188.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 189.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.55 28.2%
1.23 81.3%
Match center
Lakeside Lightning
L
23.05 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning 64:68 South West SlammersSouth West Slammers
0 Wins
1 Losses
64.0 Scored
68.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage