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Australia. NBL 1

18.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

18.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

Basketball

Mandurah Magic

84 : 48

Finished

Perry Lakes Hawks

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mandurah Magic — 82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mandurah Magic): model 63% · market 8% Δ +55 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mandurah Magic ✓ Pick82.4%

market8%

2 · Perry Lakes Hawks17.6%

market92%

Model estimate: win Mandurah Magic 82.4%, win Perry Lakes Hawks 17.6%. Model favourite — Mandurah Magic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mandurah Magic (odds1.83) Score 81:79 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

• Mandurah Magic: forma VVPPP (2-3)
• Perry Lakes Hawks: forma VPVPP (2-3)
• ochnye 1 (za 2)
• Model backs Mandurah Magic: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Perry Lakes Hawks.

Line favourite Fonbet: Perry Lakes Hawks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Mandurah Magic 82.4% / Perry Lakes Hawks 17.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 ✓ Pick 8.4%

2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.09 ↓ 1.01

Winner 2 6.00 ↑ 11.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mandurah Magic

5-0WWWWW

points for 86.5points against 80.9

Perry Lakes Hawks

3-2LWWWL

points for 95.6points against 95.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 18.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Mandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 84:48

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Mandurah Magic 83.8% 82.4% market and model agree

Perry Lakes Hawks 16.2% 17.6%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 82.4% / 17.6% probabilities

Rating 1,628 / 1,395 Mandurah Magic / Perry Lakes Hawks

RD 118 / 107 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,391-1,865 / 1,182-1,609 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 17.6%

1 2.13 market consensus · weak value +75.4% · model 82.4%

Total

Over 129.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Over 130.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.62 61.7%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.40 41.7%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 129.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 130.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 131.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 132.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 133.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 134.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 135.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 137.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 138.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 139.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 140.5	2.18 45.9%
Over 141.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 142.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 143.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 144.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 145.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 146.5	1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	11.00 9.1%	2.13 47.0%
	1.01 99.0%	1.75 57.1%

Match center

Mandurah Magic

W W L L L

17.07 10:10 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic 92:53 Perth Redbacks

10.07 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic 101:98 Willetton Tigers

03.07 10:10 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic 109:117 Beeliar Boodjar

13.06 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic 90:109 Perry Lakes Hawks

06.06 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic 75:91 Lakeside Lightning

2 Wins

3 Losses

93.4 Scored

93.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Perry Lakes Hawks

W W W L W

17.07 10:10 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks 105:81 Beeliar Boodjar

11.07 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks 104:75 Goldfields Giants

09.07 10:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks 110:88 Rockingham Flames

04.07 09:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks 108:117 Perth Redbacks

13.06 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks 109:90 Mandurah Magic

4 Wins

1 Losses

107.2 Scored

90.2 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMandurah Magic - Perry Lakes Hawks

Mandurah Magic

1 matches total

Perry Lakes Hawks

Mandurah Magic: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Perry Lakes Hawks: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Perry Lakes Hawks 90:109 (13.06 10:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 199 goals (90:109, 13.06 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 10:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

90:109

Perry Lakes Hawks