PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. NBL 1

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w)

International Basketball
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Cairns Dolphins (w)
- : -
Not started
Townsville Flames (w)
Townsville Flames (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cairns Dolphins (w) — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Dolphins (w)): model 55% · market 59% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cairns Dolphins (w) ✓ Pick59.0%
market59%
2 · Townsville Flames (w)41.0%
market41%

Model estimate: win Cairns Dolphins (w) 59.0%, win Townsville Flames (w) 41.0%. Model favourite — Cairns Dolphins (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cairns Dolphins (w) (odds1.56) Score 81:79 Under 165.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 59%
  • • Keyrns Dolfins (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Taunsvill Fleymz (zh): forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Keyrns Dolfins (zh): probability 59% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 165.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cairns Dolphins (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 58.9%
2 41.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.57 → 1.57
Pobeditel P2 2.25 → 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated30.07.2026 11:28 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score86:81 Total points: Under 170.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-3.5)
Per AI data Form:WWLLW / WWLWW H2H: 1-1
Claude updated30.07.2026 11:47 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score89:80 Total points: Over 163.5 Bet:1 (win Keyrns Dolfins) at 1.61
Qwen updated30.07.2026 11:36 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated30.07.2026 11:54 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score... Total points: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated30.07.2026 11:55 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score98:92 Total points: Over 180.5 Bet:1 with handicap (-4.5)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 60% 40% 86:81 Under 170.5 Handicap 1 (-3.5)
Claude 65% 35% 89:80 Over 163.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 60% 40% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 60% 40% 98:92 Over 180.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Cairns Dolphins (w) 65%
📐 Math model Cairns Dolphins (w) 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Dolphins (w) 59.3% 59.0% market and model agree
Townsville Flames (w) 40.7% 41.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,765 / 1,657 Cairns Dolphins (w) / Townsville Flames (w)
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,183-2,347 / 1,074-2,239 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
1 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 59.0%
Total
Over 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 165.5 1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
Under 167.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0%
Match center
Cairns Dolphins (w)
W
10.07 08:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Cairns Dolphins (w) 93:82 Logan Tander (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
93.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Townsville Flames (w)
W
24.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Townsville Flames (w) 85:83 Sautern Distrikts Spartans (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
85.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage