Australia. NBL 1
Cockburn Cougars (w) - Warwick Senators (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cockburn Cougars (w) — 63%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cockburn Cougars (w)): model 58% · market 57% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Cockburn Cougars (w) 62.9%, win Warwick Senators (w) 37.1%. Model favourite — Cockburn Cougars (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Kokbern Kugars (zh): forma VPV (2-1)
- • Uorik Senatorz (zh): forma V (1-0)
- • Model backs Kokbern Kugars (zh): probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 166.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.80).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cockburn Cougars (w) - Warwick Senators (w) July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / 2 2.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Cockburn Cougars (w) - Warwick Senators (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | — | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 165.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 165.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 166.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
Cockburn Cougars (w)
Warwick Senators (w)
Full head-to-head historyCockburn Cougars (w) - Warwick Senators (w)
Match history
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The Cockburn Cougars (w) - Warwick Senators (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form