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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. NBL 1

Keilor Thunder (w) - Sandringham Sabres (w)

International Basketball
Keilor Thunder (w)
Keilor Thunder (w)
- : -
Not started
Sandringham Sabres (w)
Sandringham Sabres (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Sandringham Sabres (w) — 58%

1 · Keilor Thunder (w)41.8%
market72%
2 · Sandringham Sabres (w) ✓ Pick58.2%
market28%

Model estimate: win Keilor Thunder (w) 41.8%, win Sandringham Sabres (w) 58.2%. Model favourite — Sandringham Sabres (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sandringham Sabres (w) (odds3.55) Score 79:81 Over 146.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.80) confidence 58%
  • • Keylor Tander (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Sandrinkhem Seybrs (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Sandrinkhem Seybrs (zh): probability 58% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.55)
  • • edge over the line +30 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Over 146.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 146.5 (odds 1.82)
  • • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Keilor Thunder (w) - Sandringham Sabres (w) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Keilor Thunder (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 72.4%
2 ✓ Pick 27.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.28 → 1.28
Pobeditel P2 3.35 → 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 72.4% @ 1.28 / 2 27.6% @ 3.35
Form 4 matches
Match center

Keilor Thunder (w) - Sandringham Sabres (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Keilor Thunder (w) 72.4% 41.8% market favourite
Sandringham Sabres (w) 27.7% 58.2% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.8% / 58.2% probabilities
Rating 1,965 / 2,322 Keilor Thunder (w) / Sandringham Sabres (w)
RD 262 / 295 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,441-2,490 / 1,733-2,912 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 Fonbet · weak value +95.0% · model 58.2%
1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 41.8%
Total
Over 146.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 146.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 146.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 146.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
3.35 29.9% 3.75 26.7%
Match center
Keilor Thunder (w)
W W
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Keilor Thunder (w) 91:69 Bendigo Breyvz (zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Keilor Thunder (w) 102:69 Maunt Gembier Payoners (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
96.5 Scored
69.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sandringham Sabres (w)
W W
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres (w) 130:80 Nortern Tasmaniya (zh)
09.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres (w) 100:97 Melburn Taygers (zh)Melburn Taygers (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
115.0 Scored
88.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage