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Australia. Women. NBL 1
Australia. Women. NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Women. NBL 1

Logan Thunder (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

International Basketball
Logan Thunder (w)
Logan Thunder (w)
- : -
Not started
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mackay Mertteorettes (w) — 63%

1 · Logan Thunder (w)37.5%
market65%
2 · Mackay Mertteorettes (w) ✓ Pick62.5%
market35%

Model estimate: win Logan Thunder (w) 37.5%, win Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 62.5%. Model favourite — Mackay Mertteorettes (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mackay Mertteorettes (w) (odds2.65) Score 78:82 Under 163.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H2 +5.5 (odds1.85) confidence 63%
  • • Logan Tander (zh): forma P (0-1)
  • • Makey Metteorettes (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Makey Metteorettes (zh): probability 63% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.65)
  • • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Under 163.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 163.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Logan Thunder (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Logan Thunder (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 65.1%
2 ✓ Pick 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.42 → 1.42
Pobeditel P2 2.65 → 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Logan Thunder (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Logan Thunder (w) 65.1% 37.5% market favourite
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 34.9% 62.5% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 37.5% / 62.5% probabilities
Rating 1,239 / 1,858 Logan Thunder (w) / Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
RD 292 / 273 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 655-1,824 / 1,313-2,404 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · weak value +65.7% · model 62.5%
1 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 37.5%
Total
Over 163.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 163.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 163.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 163.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
2.65 37.7% 2.79 35.8%
Match center
Logan Thunder (w)
L
10.07 08:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Logan Thunder (w) 82:93 Keyrns Dolfins (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
W W
25.07 09:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 81:72 Nortsayd Uizards (zh)
18.07 07:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 95:91 Saut Vest Metro Payrets (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
88.0 Scored
81.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage