Australia. NBL 1
Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Mandurah Magic (w) — 69%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mandurah Magic (w)): model 42% · market 71% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mandurah Magic (w) 68.7%, win Joondalup Wolves (w) 31.3%. Model favourite — Mandurah Magic (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Mandzhera Medzhik (zh): forma PPV (1-2)
- • Dzhundalup Vulvz (zh): forma VP (1)
- • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
- • Model backs Mandzhera Medzhik (zh): probability 69% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 165.5 (odds 1.88)
- • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w) July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 165.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 165.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
Mandurah Magic (w)
Joondalup Wolves (w)
Full head-to-head historyMandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)
Match history
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The Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form