Australia. NBL 1
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w) — 72%
Pure model vs market (1 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w)): model 38% · market 74% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w) 72.5%, win Newcastle Falcons (w) 27.5%. Model favourite — Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 143.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 143.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.69 27.1% |
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w)
Newcastle Falcons (w)
Khills Khornets (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyManly Warringah Sea Eagles (w) - Newcastle Falcons (w)
The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (w) - Newcastle Falcons (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
