Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
10.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w)

International Basketball
Northern Tasmania (w)
Northern Tasmania (w)
101 : 84
Finished
Waverley Falcons (w)
Waverley Falcons (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w) July 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Northern Tasmania (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 147.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.86 53.8%
2.20 45.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.65 37.7%
1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 147.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 148.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 149.5 1.81 55.3% 1.70 58.8%
Over 150.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Over 151.5 1.81 55.3% 2.10 47.6%
Over 152.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Under 149.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 150.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 152.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 1.01 99.0% 2.75 36.4%
1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 11.00 9.1% 1.48 67.6%