Australia. NBL 1
Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w)
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w) July 10, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Northern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w)
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 152.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 149.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 150.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 152.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 2.75 36.4% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 11.00 9.1% | 1.48 67.6% |
Full head-to-head historyNorthern Tasmania (w) - Waverley Falcons (w)