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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 08:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. NBL 1

Sturt Sabres (w) - Norwood Flames (w)

International Basketball
Sturt Sabres (w)
Sturt Sabres (w)
- : -
Not started
Norwood Flames (w)
Norwood Flames (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Norwood Flames (w)60%

1 · Sturt Sabres (w)40.0%
market72%
2 · Norwood Flames (w) ✓ Pick60.0%
market28%

Model estimate: win Sturt Sabres (w) 40.0%, win Norwood Flames (w) 60.0%. Model favourite — Norwood Flames (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Norwood Flames (w) (odds3.37) Score 78:82 Over 142.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.80) confidence 60%
  • Stert Sabres (zh): forma PVV (2-1)
  • Norvud Fleymz (zh): forma VPP (1-2)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Norvud Fleymz (zh): probability 60% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.37)
  • edge over the line +30 pp — value pick
  • Total: Over 142.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 142.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturt Sabres (w) - Norwood Flames (w) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sturt Sabres (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 72.4%
2 ✓ Pick 27.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.28 → 1.28
Pobeditel P2 3.35 → 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sturt Sabres (w) - Norwood Flames (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sturt Sabres (w) 72.4% 40.0% market favourite
Norwood Flames (w) 27.7% 60.0% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 40.0% / 60.0% probabilities
Rating 1,332 / 1,766 Sturt Sabres (w) / Norwood Flames (w)
RD 261 / 269 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 809-1,855 / 1,228-2,304 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 Fonbet · weak value +101.1% · model 60.0%
1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 40.0%
Total
Over 142.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 142.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 142.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0%
Match center
Sturt Sabres (w)
L W W
25.07 09:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Sturt Sabres (w) 64:81 Vest Adelaida Birkets (zh)
18.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Sturt Sabres (w) 75:66 Norvud Fleymz (zh)
11.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Sturt Sabres (w) 94:85 Vest Adelaida Birkets (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
77.7 Scored
77.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Norwood Flames (w)
W L L
25.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Norwood Flames (w) 68:64 Saut Adelaida Panters (zh)
18.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Norwood Flames (w) 66:75 Stert Sabres (zh)
11.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Norwood Flames (w) 100:110 Sentral Distrikt Lionc (zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
78.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySturt Sabres (w) - Norwood Flames (w)

Sturt Sabres (w)
1 matches total
Norwood Flames (w)
Sturt Sabres (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Norwood Flames (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stert Sabres (zh) 75:66 (18.07 08:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 141 goals (75:66, 18.07 08:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Stert Sabres (zh)
75:66
Norvud Fleymz (zh)