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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
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Australia. NBL 1

Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

International Basketball
Townsville Flames (w)
Townsville Flames (w)
- : -
Not started
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Townsville Flames (w) meet Mackay Mertteorettes (w) on August 7, 2026 in the Australia. NBL 1, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Townsville Flames (w) 4-0-1, Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 5-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mackay Mertteorettes (w) — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mackay Mertteorettes (w)): model 45% · market 52% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Townsville Flames (w)49.0%
2 · Mackay Mertteorettes (w)51.0%

Model estimate: win Townsville Flames (w) 49.0%, win Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 51.0%. Model favourite — Mackay Mertteorettes (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mackay Mertteorettes (w) (odds1.83) Score 79:81 Under 166.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.90) confidence 51%
  • • Taunsvill Fleymz (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Makey Metteorettes (zh): forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Model backs Makey Metteorettes (zh): probability 51% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 166.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w) August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mackay Mertteorettes (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.88 / 2 1.82

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.1% 2 books
1 48.5%
2 51.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.88 → 1.88
Winner P2 1.82 → 1.82

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 49.2% @ 1.88 / 2 50.8% @ 1.82
Form 5 matches
Match center

Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Townsville Flames (w) 48.5% 49.0%
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 51.5% 51.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.0% / 51.0% probabilities
Rating 1,998 / 1,895 Townsville Flames (w) / Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
RD 264 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,471-2,525 / 1,380-2,410 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 Fonbet · no value · model 51.0%
1 1.88 Fonbet · no value · model 49.0%
Total
Over 166.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 166.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 166.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.88 53.2% 2.01 49.8%
1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Townsville Flames (w)
W W W W L
2026-08-01 NBL1 North, Women 2026, Playoffs
Townsville Flames (w) Cairns Dolphins (w) 90:94 Townsville Flames (w)
2026-07-24 NBL1 North, Women 2026, Playoffs
Townsville Flames (w) Townsville Flames (w) 85:83 Southern District Spartans (w)
2026-07-18 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Townsville Flames (w) Townsville Flames (w) 111:70 Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
2026-07-11 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Townsville Flames (w) Townsville Flames (w) 91:84 Logan Thunder (w)
2026-07-04 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Townsville Flames (w) Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 83:80 Townsville Flames (w)
4 Wins
1 Losses
92.2 Scored
82.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
W W W W W
2026-08-01 NBL1 North, Women 2026, Playoffs
Logan Thunder (w) 87:88 Mackay Mertteorettes (w) Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
2026-07-25 NBL1 North, Women 2026, Playoffs
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 94:87 Northside Wizards (w) Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
2026-07-19 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Gold Coast Rollers (w) 69:84 Mackay Mertteorettes (w) Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
2026-07-18 NBL1 North, Women 2026
South West Metro Pirates (w) 64:88 Mackay Mertteorettes (w) Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
2026-07-12 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 88:59 Sunshine Coast Phoenix (w) Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
5 Wins
0 Losses
88.4 Scored
73.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTownsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Townsville Flames (w)
1 matches total
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Townsville Flames (w): 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Townsville Flames (w) 78:88 (2026-07-03) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 166 goals (78:88, 2026-07-03) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-03 NBL1 North, Women 2026
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 78:88 Townsville Flames (w)