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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1 International
02.08.2026 03:00 UTC
02.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. NBL 1

Waverley Falcons (w) - Casey Cavaliers (w)

International Basketball
Waverley Falcons (w)
Waverley Falcons (w)
- : -
Not started
Casey Cavaliers (w)
Casey Cavaliers (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Waverley Falcons (w) — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Waverley Falcons (w)): model 49% · market 74% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Waverley Falcons (w) ✓ Pick71.4%
market74%
2 · Casey Cavaliers (w)28.6%
market26%

Model estimate: win Waverley Falcons (w) 71.4%, win Casey Cavaliers (w) 28.6%. Model favourite — Waverley Falcons (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Waverley Falcons (w) (odds1.29) Score 83:77 Over 156.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.80) confidence 71%
  • • Veyverli Felkons (zh): forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Veyverli Felkons (zh): probability 71% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 156.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 156.5 (odds 1.82)
  • • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Waverley Falcons (w) - Casey Cavaliers (w) August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Waverley Falcons (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 74.0%
2 26.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.28 → 1.28
Pobeditel P2 3.35 → 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Waverley Falcons (w) - Casey Cavaliers (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Waverley Falcons (w) 73.1% 71.4% market and model agree
Casey Cavaliers (w) 26.9% 28.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 71.4% / 28.6% probabilities
Rating 1,161 / 1,500 Waverley Falcons (w) / Casey Cavaliers (w)
RD 267 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 628-1,695 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 Fonbet · no value · model 28.6%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 71.4%
Total
Over 156.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 156.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 156.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 156.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
3.55 28.2% 3.77 26.5%
Match center
Waverley Falcons (w)
L L
18.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Waverley Falcons (w) 94:100 Ringvud Khoks (zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia. Women. NBL 1
Waverley Falcons (w) 84:101 Nortern Tasmaniya (zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
89.0 Scored
100.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Casey Cavaliers (w)
L L
18.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Casey Cavaliers (w) 94:100 Ringvud Khoks (zh)Ringvud Khoks (zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Casey Cavaliers (w) 84:101 Nortern Tasmaniya (zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
89.0 Scored
100.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage