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Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff
Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff
31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff

Cairns Marlins - Ipswich Force

Basketball
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
- : -
Not started
Ipswich Force
Ipswich Force
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cairns Marlins71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Marlins): model 65% · market 72% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cairns Marlins ✓ Pick71.2%
market72%
2 · Ipswich Force28.8%
market28%

Model estimate: win Cairns Marlins 71.2%, win Ipswich Force 28.8%. Model favourite — Cairns Marlins.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cairns Marlins (odds1.30) Score 83:77 confidence 62%
  • Kerns Marlins: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • Ipswich Force: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • Model backs Kerns Marlins: probability 62% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Marlins - Ipswich Force July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / 2 3.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 ✓ Pick 72.3%
2 27.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cairns Marlins
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
points for 89.3points against 77.4
Ipswich Force
1-9LWLLLLLLLL
points for 69.8points against 88.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Cairns Marlins - Ipswich Force

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Marlins 71.7% 71.2% market and model agree
Ipswich Force 28.3% 28.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 71.2% / 28.8% probabilities
Rating 2,197 / 1,436 Cairns Marlins / Ipswich Force
RD 214 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,769-2,625 / 1,153-1,719 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.34 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
1 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.2%
Total
Over 189.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 189.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 189.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 189.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.47 28.8%
Match center
Cairns Marlins
W W W W W
17.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 116:91 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 93:82 Logan TanderLogan Tander
04.07 07:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 96:83 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
03.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 99:83 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
13.06 07:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 114:89 Brisben KepitalzBrisben Kepitalz
5 Wins
0 Losses
103.6 Scored
85.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Ipswich Force
W
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Playoff
Ipswich Force 86:81 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage