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Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff
Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w)

Basketball
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Cairns Dolphins (w)
- : -
Not started
Townsville Flames (w)
Townsville Flames (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cairns Dolphins (w) — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Dolphins (w)): model 48% · market 59% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cairns Dolphins (w)58.8%
market59%
2 · Townsville Flames (w)41.2%
market41%

Model estimate: win Cairns Dolphins (w) 58.8%, win Townsville Flames (w) 41.2%. Model favourite — Cairns Dolphins (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cairns Dolphins (w) (odds1.58) Score 81:79 confidence 59%
  • • Kerns Dolfins (Zh): forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Kerns Dolfins (Zh): probability 59% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Dolphins (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 58.9%
2 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cairns Dolphins (w)
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
points for 89.3points against 77.4
Townsville Flames (w)
7-3LWWLWWWLWW
points for 85.7points against 76.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Townsville Flames (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Dolphins (w) 59.6% 58.8% market and model agree
Townsville Flames (w) 40.4% 41.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities
Rating 1,663 / 1,770 Cairns Dolphins (w) / Townsville Flames (w)
RD 240 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,184-2,142 / 1,385-2,155 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%
1 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 58.8%
Total
Over 167.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 167.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 167.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.64 61.0%
2.35 42.6% 2.33 42.9%
Match center
Cairns Dolphins (w)
W L L W W
17.07 06:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 82:68 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 83:91 Logan Thunder (Zh)Logan Thunder (Zh)
04.07 05:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 95:99 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
03.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 86:79 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 90:82 Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.2 Scored
83.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Townsville Flames (w)
W
24.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff
Townsville Flames (w) 85:83 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
85.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage