Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff
Logan Thunder (Zh) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Logan Thunder (Zh) — 53%
Model estimate: win Logan Thunder (Zh) 53.0%, win Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 47.0%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Logan Thunder (Zh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
- • Mackay Meteorettes (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
- • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
- • Model backs Logan Thunder (Zh): probability 53% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Logan Thunder (Zh) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w) July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / 2 2.79
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Logan Thunder (Zh) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 2.79 35.8% |
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
Northside Wizards (Zh)
South West Metro Pirates
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Northside Wizards (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyLogan Thunder (Zh) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Logan Thunder (Zh) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
NBL1 Women, North