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Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

07.08.2026 08:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

07.08.2026 08:00 UTC

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Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Basketball

Townsville Flames (w)

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Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Townsville Flames (w) meet Mackay Mertteorettes (w) on August 7, 2026 in the Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Townsville Flames (w) 2-0-0, Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 2-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Townsville Flames (w) — 54%

1 · Townsville Flames (w)54.3%

2 · Mackay Mertteorettes (w)45.7%

Model estimate: win Townsville Flames (w) 54.3%, win Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 45.7%. Model favourite — Townsville Flames (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Townsville Flames (w) (odds2.07) Score 81:79 confidence 54%

• Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
• Mackay Meteorettes (Zh): forma VVVVV (5-0)
• ochnye 1 (za 2)
• Model backs Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh): probability 54% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
• edge over the line +6 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w) August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mackay Mertteorettes (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 46.5%

2 53.5%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins9

73.6Points on average81.4

Head-to-head matches: 11 · average total 155.0 (points)

Team form

Townsville Flames (w)

7-3LWWLWWWLWW

points for 85.7points against 76.1

Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

7-3WWWWWLWWLL

points for 92.7points against 78.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 07.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 46.5% @ 2.07 / 2 53.5% @ 1.80

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Townsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Townsville Flames (w) 46.5% 54.3% Glicko contrarian

Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 53.5% 45.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 54.3% / 45.7% probabilities

Rating 1,869 / 1,823 Townsville Flames (w) / Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

RD 177 / 140 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,515-2,222 / 1,544-2,102 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 45.7%

1 2.07 market consensus · value +12.3% · model 54.3%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Leon
	2.07 48.3%
	1.80 55.6%

Match center

Townsville Flames (w)

W W

01.08 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Townsville Flames (w) 94:90 Kerns Dolfins (Zh)

24.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Townsville Flames (w) 85:83 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)

2 Wins

0 Losses

89.5 Scored

86.5 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

W W

01.08 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 88:87 Logan Thunder (Zh)

25.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women - Playoff

Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 81:72 Northside Wizards (Zh)

2 Wins

0 Losses

84.5 Scored

79.5 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTownsville Flames (w) - Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Townsville Flames (w)

2 matches total

Mackay Mertteorettes (w)

Townsville Flames (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Mackay Mertteorettes (w): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Mackay Meteorettes (Zh) 83:95 (22.05 06:30 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 178 goals (83:95, 22.05 06:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

03.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women

Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)

88:78

Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)

22.05 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North - Women

Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)

83:95

Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)