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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff

Keilor Thunder - Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)

Basketball
Keilor Thunder
Keilor Thunder
- : -
Not started
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Keilor Thunder — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Keilor Thunder): model 63% · market 75% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Keilor Thunder ✓ Pick72.5%
market75%
2 · Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)27.5%
market25%

Model estimate: win Keilor Thunder 72.5%, win Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 27.5%. Model favourite — Keilor Thunder.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Keilor Thunder (odds1.26) Score 84:76 confidence 61%
  • • Keilor Thunder: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh): forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Keilor Thunder: probability 61% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Keilor Thunder - Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Keilor Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 2.0%
1 ✓ Pick 74.9%
2 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Keilor Thunder
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
points for 86.8points against 74.3
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
3-2WWWLL
points for 93.4points against 87.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 74.9% @ 1.31 / 2 25.1% @ 3.90
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Keilor Thunder - Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Keilor Thunder 73.2% 72.5% market and model agree
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 26.8% 27.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 72.5% / 27.5% probabilities
Rating 1,848 / 1,432 Keilor Thunder / Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
RD 120 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,607-2,088 / 1,078-1,786 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.49 market consensus · no value · model 27.5%
1 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 72.5%
Total
Over 145.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 146.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.88 53.2% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% —
— 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 145.5 1.84 54.4% —
Over 146.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Under 145.5 1.83 54.6% —
Under 146.5 — 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.31 76.3% 1.21 82.6%
3.07 32.6% 3.90 25.6%
Match center
Keilor Thunder
W W W W L
17.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South
Keilor Thunder 93:69 Bendigo BreyvsBendigo Breyvs
17.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 112:58 Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South
Keilor Thunder 102:69 Maunt-GambirMaunt-Gambir
10.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 83:57 Mt. Gamber (Zh)Mt. Gamber (Zh)
05.07 02:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South
Keilor Thunder 66:73 Casey Cavaliers (Zh)Casey Cavaliers (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
91.2 Scored
65.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
W L L L L
17.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 86:73 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
11.07 05:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 63:74 Ballarat (Zh)Ballarat (Zh)
09.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 66:74 Melburn Taygers (zh)Melburn Taygers (zh)
04.07 06:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 67:75 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
03.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh) 61:95 Ueverli (Zh)Ueverli (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
68.6 Scored
78.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKeilor Thunder - Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)

Keilor Thunder
1 matches total
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
Keilor Thunder: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Keilor Thunder 82:63 (13.06 05:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 145 goals (82:63, 13.06 05:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 05:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder
82:63
Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)