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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff
31.07.2026 07:00 UTC
31.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff

Noks (Zh) - Melburn Taygers (Zh)

Basketball
Noks (Zh)
Noks (Zh)
- : -
Not started
M
Melburn Taygers (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Noks (Zh) — 91%

Pure model vs market (1 · Noks (Zh)): model 61% · market 93% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Noks (Zh) ✓ Pick91.1%
market93%
2 · Melburn Taygers (Zh)8.9%
market7%

Model estimate: win Noks (Zh) 91.1%, win Melburn Taygers (Zh) 8.9%. Model favourite — Noks (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Noks (Zh) - Melburn Taygers (Zh) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Noks (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / 2 14.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 ✓ Pick 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Noks (Zh)
9-1LWWWWWWWWW
points for 83.4points against 67.3
Melburn Taygers (Zh)

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Noks (Zh) - Melburn Taygers (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Noks (Zh) 93.3% 91.1% market and model agree
Melburn Taygers (Zh) 6.7% 8.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 91.1% / 8.9% probabilities
Rating 2,236 / 1,845 Noks (Zh) / Melburn Taygers (Zh)
RD 218 / 264 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,799-2,673 / 1,316-2,373 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 91.1%
Total
Over 148.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 149.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 148.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 149.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 148.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Under 149.5 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
— 1.03 97.1%
13.00 7.7% 14.30 7.0%
Match center
Noks (Zh)
W W W W W
17.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Noks (Zh) 78:59 Khobart (Zh)Khobart (Zh)
10.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Noks (Zh) 90:61 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
03.07 06:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Noks (Zh) 95:64 Mt. Gamber (Zh)Mt. Gamber (Zh)
14.06 01:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Noks (Zh) 78:56 Nunavading (Zh)Nunavading (Zh)
13.06 06:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Noks (Zh) 89:63 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
60.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Melburn Taygers (Zh)
W
25.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women - Playoff
Melburn Taygers (Zh) 75:61 Mt. Gamber (Zh)Mt. Gamber (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
75.0 Scored
61.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage