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Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff
Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff
01.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders

Basketball
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
- : -
Not started
Central Coast Crusaders
Central Coast Crusaders
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles): model 46% · market 62% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ✓ Pick61.4%
market62%
2 · Central Coast Crusaders38.6%
market38%

Model estimate: win Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 61.4%, win Central Coast Crusaders 38.6%. Model favourite — Manly Warringah Sea Eagles.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (odds1.48) Score 82:78 confidence 61%
  • Manli Varringa: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • Central Coast Crusaders: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • Model backs Manli Varringa: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / 2 2.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 ✓ Pick 62.2%
2 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
7-3WLWLWWWWLW
points for 81.3points against 77.2
Central Coast Crusaders
1-9LLLLWLLLLL
points for 54.1points against 88.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 62.2% @ 1.55 / 2 37.8% @ 2.55
Form 6 matches
Match center

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 62.5% 61.4% market and model agree
Central Coast Crusaders 37.5% 38.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.4% / 38.6% probabilities
Rating 1,514 / 1,689 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles / Central Coast Crusaders
RD 171 / 138 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,172-1,857 / 1,412-1,965 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.48 market consensus · no value · model 38.6%
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 61.4%
Total
Over 164.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 165.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 164.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 165.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 164.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 165.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.46 68.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.55 64.5%
2.37 42.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.53 39.5%
Match center
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
L
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 65:86 Illavara Khoks 2Illavara Khoks 2
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Central Coast Crusaders
W
25.07 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff
Central Coast Crusaders 94:81 FFA Central of EksellensFFA Central of Eksellens
1 Wins
0 Losses
94.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage