Australia: NBL1 East - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sutherland Sharks — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sutherland Sharks): model 60% · market 56% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Sutherland Sharks 55.8%, win Maitland Mustangs 44.2%. Model favourite — Sutherland Sharks.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: P1 | odds 1.73 | edge 4.4% | ROI 3.7% | BetBoom
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 166.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 166.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.16 46.3% |
Sutherland Sharks
Norths Bears (Zh)
Kanberra
Full head-to-head historySutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs
The Sutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
