PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Australia: NBL1 East Women - Playoff
Australia: NBL1 East Women - Playoff
31.07.2026 01:00 UTC
31.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NBL1 East Women - Playoff

Manli Varringa (Zh) - Newcastle Falcons (w)

Basketball
Manli Varringa (Zh)
Manli Varringa (Zh)
- : -
Not started
Newcastle Falcons (w)
Newcastle Falcons (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Manli Varringa (Zh) — 50%

1 · Manli Varringa (Zh)50.3%
2 · Newcastle Falcons (w)49.7%

Model estimate: win Manli Varringa (Zh) 50.3%, win Newcastle Falcons (w) 49.7%. Model favourite — Manli Varringa (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Manli Varringa (Zh) (odds1.30) Score 81:79 confidence 50%
  • • Manli Varringa (Zh): forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Nyukasl (Zh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Manli Varringa (Zh): probability 50% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-27 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manli Varringa (Zh) - Newcastle Falcons (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Manli Varringa (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / 2 3.69

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 73.9%
2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Manli Varringa (Zh)
7-3WLWLWWWWLW
points for 81.3points against 77.2
Newcastle Falcons (w)
2-3LLWWL
points for 116.3points against 121.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Manli Varringa (Zh) - Newcastle Falcons (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manli Varringa (Zh) 74.0% 50.3% market and model agree
Newcastle Falcons (w) 26.1% 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,690 / 1,747 Manli Varringa (Zh) / Newcastle Falcons (w)
RD 199 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,292-2,089 / 1,420-2,074 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.69 market consensus · weak value +83.3% · model 49.7%
1 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 50.3%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.30 76.9%
3.69 27.1%
Match center
Manli Varringa (Zh)
L
25.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women - Playoff
Manli Varringa (Zh) 82:91 Bankstown Bruins (Zh)Bankstown Bruins (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
91.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Newcastle Falcons (w)
W
25.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 East Women - Playoff
Newcastle Falcons (w) 69:61 Khills Khornets (Zh)Khills Khornets (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
69.0 Scored
61.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage