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Australia: NBL1 West - Women - Playoff

30.07.2026 09:00 UTC

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Australia: NBL1 West - Women - Playoff

Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)

Basketball

Mandurah Magic (w)

- : -

Not started

Joondalup Wolves (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Joondalup Wolves (w) — 53%

1 · Mandurah Magic (w)46.7%

2 · Joondalup Wolves (w)53.3%

Model estimate: win Mandurah Magic (w) 46.7%, win Joondalup Wolves (w) 53.3%. Model favourite — Joondalup Wolves (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Joondalup Wolves (w) (odds3.25) Score 79:81 confidence 53%

• Mandurah Magic (Zh): forma PPVVV (3-2)
• Joondalup Wolves (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
• ochnye 0-2 (za 2)
• Model backs Joondalup Wolves (Zh): probability 53% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.25)
• edge over the line +22 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mandurah Magic (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 70.3%

2 29.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mandurah Magic (w)

5-0WWWWW

points for 86.5points against 80.9

Joondalup Wolves (w)

3-2LWWLW

points for 100.5points against 91.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Mandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Mandurah Magic (w) 70.4% 46.7% market favourite

Joondalup Wolves (w) 29.7% 53.3% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 46.7% / 53.3% probabilities

Rating 1,557 / 1,703 Mandurah Magic (w) / Joondalup Wolves (w)

RD 108 / 103 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,342-1,772 / 1,498-1,908 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.25 market consensus · weak value +73.1% · model 53.3%

1 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 46.7%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Leon
	1.37 73.0%
	3.25 30.8%

Match center

Mandurah Magic (w)

L L W W W

24.07 10:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic (w) 104:111 Joondalup Wolves (Zh)

24.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Mandurah Magic (w) 78:86 Joondalup Wolves (Zh)

18.07 09:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic (w) 84:48 Perry Lakes Hawks

18.07 07:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Mandurah Magic (w) 23:12 Perry Lakes Hawks

17.07 10:10 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic (w) 92:53 Perth Redbacks

3 Wins

2 Losses

76.2 Scored

62.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Joondalup Wolves (w)

W W W W L

24.07 10:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves (w) 111:104 Mandurah Magic (Zh)

24.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Joondalup Wolves (w) 86:78 Mandurah Magic (Zh)

18.07 10:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Joondalup Wolves (w) 93:86 Goldfields Giants (Zh)

18.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves (w) 92:87 Goldfields Giants (Zh)

11.07 09:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves (w) 69:97 Rockingham Flames

4 Wins

1 Losses

90.2 Scored

90.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMandurah Magic (w) - Joondalup Wolves (w)

Mandurah Magic (w)

2 matches total

Joondalup Wolves (w)

Mandurah Magic (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Joondalup Wolves (w): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Joondalup Wolves (Zh) 78:86 (24.07 08:30 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 215 goals (104:111, 24.07 10:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

24.07 10:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic (Zh)

104:111

Joondalup Wolves (Zh)

24.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia: NBL1 West - Women

Mandurah Magic (Zh)

78:86

Joondalup Wolves (Zh)