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Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff

Campinas (w) - Sampaio (w)

Basketball
Campinas (w)
Campinas (w)
54 : 65
Finished
Sampaio (w)
Sampaio (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sampaio (w) — 57%

1 · Campinas (w)42.8%
2 · Sampaio (w) ✓ Pick57.2%

Model estimate: win Campinas (w) 42.8%, win Sampaio (w) 57.2%. Model favourite — Sampaio (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sampaio (w) (odds1.32) Score 79:81 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Vera-Kruz (Zh): forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Sampayo (Zh): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-2 (za 3)
  • • Model backs Sampayo (Zh): probability 57% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Campinas (w) - Sampaio (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sampaio (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Sampaio (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45
  • Glicko: Campinas (w) 42.8% / Sampaio (w) 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Campinas (w) - Sampaio (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 54:65
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 57.2% fact: away hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.366 / LogLoss 0.558
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.9% fact: away hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.444 / LogLoss 0.637
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Campinas (w) 29.9% 42.8%
Sampaio (w) 70.1% 57.2% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 42.8% / 57.2% probabilities
Rating 1,877 / 2,146 Campinas (w) / Sampaio (w)
RD 195 / 158 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,487-2,267 / 1,831-2,461 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 57.2%
1 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 42.8%
Total
Over 130.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 130.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 130.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 130.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%
Match center
Campinas (w)
L L W W
27.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 54:65 Sampayo (Zh)Sampayo (Zh)
25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 54:65 Sampayo (Zh)Sampayo (Zh)
17.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 70:67 SESI Araraquara (Zh)SESI Araraquara (Zh)
11.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Campinas (w) 79:77 SESI Araraquara (Zh)SESI Araraquara (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
64.3 Scored
68.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Sampaio (w)
W W W L W
27.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 65:54 Vera-Kruz (Zh)Vera-Kruz (Zh)
25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 65:54 Vera-Kruz (Zh)Vera-Kruz (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 61:46 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
18.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 62:73 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
12.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Sampaio (w) 75:62 Serradu (Zh)Serradu (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
65.6 Scored
57.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCampinas (w) - Sampaio (w)

Campinas (w)
2 matches total
Sampaio (w)
Campinas (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sampaio (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Sampayo (Zh) 54:65 (27.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 119 goals (54:65, 27.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Vera-Kruz (Zh)
54:65
Sampayo (Zh)
25.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: LBF - Women - Playoff
Vera-Kruz (Zh)
54:65
Sampayo (Zh)