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Brazil NBB Brazil

07.05.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

07.05.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano - EC Pinheiros

Brazil Basketball

Club Athlético Paulistano

68 : 76

Finished

EC Pinheiros

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club Athlético Paulistano - EC Pinheiros May 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: EC Pinheiros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 8.4%

2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Antonio Prado (San-Paulu)

Referee de Carlo Pereira J. 🇧🇷 - Benito M. 🇧🇷 - Lelis G. 🇧🇷

Start 07.05.2026 22:00 UTC

Match center

Club Athlético Paulistano - EC Pinheiros

Array

Form 4/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 2.60 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

2 1 1.85 market consensus · line only

2 1.00 1.96 market consensus · line only

1 0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 144.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Over 145.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	1xBet	888Sport
	1.95 51.3%	—
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.70 58.8%	—
	2.02 49.5%	—
	1.82 55.1%	—
	1.87 53.5%	—
	1.85 54.1%	—
	1.61 62.0%	—
	1.85 54.1%	—
	2.03 49.3%	1.85 54.1%
	1.74 57.5%	1.90 52.6%
	1.93 51.8%	1.75 57.1%
	1.87 53.5%	1.80 55.6%
	1.89 52.9%	—

Total

Outcome	1xBet
Over 145.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 148.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 152.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 153.5	1.89 52.9%
Over 155.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 161.5	1.84 54.4%
Over 161.75	1.80 55.7%
Over 162.25	1.81 55.3%
Over 162.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 162.75	1.80 55.4%
Over 163.5	1.89 52.9%
Over 164.5	1.89 52.9%
Over 166.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 167.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 145.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 148.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 152.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 153.5	1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	BetBoom	Betfair	Betsson	Bwin	CashPoint
	11.00 9.1%	2.59 38.6%	41.00 2.4%	17.00 5.9%	1.76 56.8%	21.00 4.8%	11.00 9.1%	17.00 5.9%	2.34 42.7%
	1.01 99.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.33 75.0%	1.01 99.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.00 99.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.01 99.0%	1.53 65.4%

Match center

Club Athlético Paulistano

L W L W

04.05 23:00 UTC Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano 92:101 EC Pinheiros

29.04 22:30 UTC Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano 71:62 Bauru Basket

26.04 21:00 UTC Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano 75:88 Bauru Basket

09.04 23:00 UTC Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano 84:80 Corinthians

2 Wins

2 Losses

80.5 Scored

82.8 Conceded

50% Win percentage

EC Pinheiros

W W L

04.05 23:00 UTC Brazil NBB

EC Pinheiros 101:92 Club Athlético Paulistano

26.04 19:00 UTC Brazil NBB

EC Pinheiros 94:88 Rio Claro Basquete

10.04 22:00 UTC Brazil NBB

EC Pinheiros 75:76 Sao Jose Dos Campos

2 Wins

1 Losses

90.0 Scored

85.3 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyClub Athlético Paulistano - EC Pinheiros

Club Athlético Paulistano

1 matches total

EC Pinheiros

Club Athlético Paulistano: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

EC Pinheiros: 1 (100%)

Biggest win EC Pinheiros 92:101 (04.05 23:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 193 goals (92:101, 04.05 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

04.05 23:00 UTC

Brazil NBB

Club Athlético Paulistano

92:101

EC Pinheiros

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Club Athlético Paulistano

Data 0 / 0 / 8 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 EC Pinheiros

Tournament bracket

1/8 (1) Franka 3:0 (16) Botafogo

1/8 (8) San Zhoze/Yunimed/Vinak streak (9) Mogi

1/8 (4) Yunitseub streak (13) Kashias-do-Sul

1/8 (5) Flamengo streak (12) Unian Korintians

1/8 (2) Pineyros streak (15) Riu-Klaru

1/8 (7) Paulistano streak (10) Itabom/Bauru

1/8 (3) Minas streak (14) Kruzeyro

1/8 (6) Korintians streak (11) Unifakisa