Pinheiros meet Mogi das Cruzes on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Paulista League, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Pinheiros 2-0-3, Mogi das Cruzes 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Mogi das Cruzes — 51%
51%2
1 · Pinheiros49.3%
2 · Mogi das Cruzes50.7%
Model estimate: win Pinheiros 49.3%, win Mogi das Cruzes 50.7%. Model favourite — Mogi das Cruzes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Mogi das Cruzes (odds1.21)Score 79:81Over 157.5(odds2.03)Handicap H1 +9.5(odds1.85)confidence 51%
•Pineyros: forma PV (1)
•Model backs Mozhi-das-Kruzis: probability 51% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
•no edge over the line (-32 pp) — informational only
•Total: Over 157.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 157.5 (odds 2.03)
•Handicap F1 +9.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Pinheiros - Mogi das Cruzes August 5, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mogi das Cruzes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / 2 1.11
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
2 books · best price +1.3%
117.8%
282.2%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P14.40→ 4.40
Winner P21.17→ 1.17
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Start05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market1 16.8% @ 5.50 / 2 83.2% @ 1.11
Form2 matches
Match center
Pinheiros - Mogi das Cruzes
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Pinheiros21.0%49.3%
Mogi das Cruzes79.0%50.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.11
Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
15.50
Fonbet · weak value +170.9% · model 49.3%
Total
Over 148.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 149.51.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
