Sesi Franca face Bauru on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Paulista League, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sesi Franca 4-0-1, Bauru 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Sesi Franca — 75%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sesi Franca): model 51% · market 64%Δ −13 ppmodel estimates below the market
75%1
1 · Sesi Franca ✓ Pick74.6%
market64%
2 · Bauru25.4%
market36%
Model estimate: win Sesi Franca 74.6%, win Bauru 25.4%. Model favourite — Sesi Franca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Sesi Franca (odds1.25)Score 84:76Over 150.5(odds1.96)Handicap H2 +8.5(odds1.85)confidence 75%
•Sesi Franka: forma VP (1)
•Model backs Sesi Franka: probability 75% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
•Total: Over 150.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 150.5 (odds 1.96)
•Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 84:76 (diff +8) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sesi Franca - Bauru August 5, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sesi Franca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.46 / 2 2.53
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
4 books
1 ✓ Pick63.6%
236.4%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.21→ 1.21
Winner P23.90→ 3.90
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start05.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market1 63.4% @ 1.46 / 2 36.6% @ 2.53
Form2 matches
Match center
Sesi Franca - Bauru
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Sesi Franca76.3%74.6%market and model agree
Bauru23.7%25.4%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P274.6% / 25.4%
probabilities
Rating1,724 / 1,500
Sesi Franca / Bauru
RD266 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,192-2,257 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.53
Fonbet · no value · model 25.4%
11.46
Fonbet · value +8.9% · model 74.6%
Total
Over 146.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 147.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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