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Brazil. U22. Championship
Brazil. U22. Championship International
29.07.2026 12:30 UTC
29.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Not started

Brazil. U22. Championship

Sao Jose U22 - SESI Franca U22

International Basketball
Sao Jose U22
Sao Jose U22
- : -
Not started
SESI Franca U22
SESI Franca U22
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sao Jose U22 — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sao Jose U22): model 50% · market 69% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sao Jose U22 ✓ Pick67.3%
market69%
2 · SESI Franca U2232.7%
market31%

Model estimate: win Sao Jose U22 67.3%, win SESI Franca U22 32.7%. Model favourite — Sao Jose U22.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sao Jose U22 - SESI Franca U22 July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sao Jose U22. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 68.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.13 ↑ 1.35
Pobeditel P2 5.10 ↓ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Sao Jose U22 - SESI Franca U22

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sao Jose U22 68.6% 67.3% market and model agree
SESI Franca U22 31.4% 32.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.3% / 32.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Sao Jose U22 / SESI Franca U22
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.7%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%
Total
Over 148.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 148.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 148.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 149.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9%