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Brazil. U20. Catarinense
Brazil. U20. Catarinense International
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Catarinense

International

Apabla SC U20 - ACOB Concordia U20

International Basketball
Apabla SC U20
Apabla SC U20
43 : 70
Finished
ACOB Concordia U20
ACOB Concordia U20

Apabla SC U20 face ACOB Concordia U20 on July 31, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Catarinense, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Apabla SC U20 0-0-1, ACOB Concordia U20 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 ACOB Concordia U20 — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · ACOB Concordia U20): model 61% · market 72% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Apabla SC U2035.2%
market28%
2 · ACOB Concordia U20 ✓ Pick64.8%
market72%

Model estimate: win Apabla SC U20 35.2%, win ACOB Concordia U20 64.8%. Model favourite — ACOB Concordia U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2ACOB Concordia U20 (odds1.42) Score 78:82 Over 128.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H1 +5.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Apabla U20: forma P (0-1)
  • • AKOB / SENAK / Passarela / SEDEK / Konkordiya U20: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs AKOB / SENAK / Passarela / SEDEK / Konkordiya U20: probability 61% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 128.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 128.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +5.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Apabla SC U20 - ACOB Concordia U20 July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ACOB Concordia U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: ACOB Concordia U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.35 / 2 1.28
  • Glicko: Apabla SC U20 35.2% / ACOB Concordia U20 64.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 27.6%
2 ✓ Pick 72.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.65 ↑ 3.35
Winner 2 1.42 ↓ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 27.6% @ 3.35 / 2 72.4% @ 1.28
Form 2 matches
Match center

Apabla SC U20 - ACOB Concordia U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 43:70
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 64.8% fact: away hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.247 / LogLoss 0.433
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 55.9% fact: away hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Apabla SC U20 34.9% 35.2%
ACOB Concordia U20 65.1% 64.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 35.2% / 64.8% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,764 Apabla SC U20 / ACOB Concordia U20
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 654-1,818 / 1,182-2,346 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 64.8%
1 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 35.2%
Total
Over 128.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 128.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 128.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 128.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.63 38.0% 3.35 29.9% 2.65 37.7%
1.41 70.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Apabla SC U20
L
30.07 22:00 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Apabla SC U20 46:84 ADIEE/ Avay / FME U20
0 Wins
1 Losses
46.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
ACOB Concordia U20
W
30.07 23:30 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
ACOB Concordia U20 81:46 Aua Zhoinvil U20
1 Wins
0 Losses
81.0 Scored
46.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage