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Brazil. U20. Catarinense
Brazil. U20. Catarinense International
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Catarinense

International

Apabla SC U20 - Our Joinville U20

International Basketball
Apabla SC U20
Apabla SC U20
40 : 54
Finished
Our Joinville U20
Our Joinville U20

Apabla SC U20 go head-to-head with Our Joinville U20 on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Catarinense, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Apabla SC U20 0-0-2, Our Joinville U20 0-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Apabla SC U20 — 52%

1 · Apabla SC U2052.1%
2 · Our Joinville U2047.9%

Model estimate: win Apabla SC U20 52.1%, win Our Joinville U20 47.9%. Model favourite — Apabla SC U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Apabla SC U20 (odds1.50) Score 81:79 Over 124.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Apabla U20: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Aua Zhoinvil U20: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Apabla U20: probability 52% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 124.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 124.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Apabla SC U20 - Our Joinville U20 August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Apabla SC U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Apabla SC U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42
  • Glicko: Apabla SC U20 52.1% / Our Joinville U20 47.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 → 1.50
Winner 2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Market 1 61.7% @ 1.50 / 2 38.3% @ 2.42
Form 4 matches
Match center

Apabla SC U20 - Our Joinville U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 40:54
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.543 / LogLoss 0.736
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.517 / LogLoss 0.710
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Apabla SC U20 61.7% 52.1% market and model agree
Our Joinville U20 38.3% 47.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.1% / 47.9% probabilities
Rating 1,165 / 1,165 Apabla SC U20 / Our Joinville U20
RD 270 / 270 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 626-1,705 / 626-1,705 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · weak value +15.9% · model 47.9%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Total
Over 124.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 124.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 124.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 124.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
2.42 41.3%
Match center
Apabla SC U20
L L
31.07 22:00 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Apabla SC U20 43:70 AKOB Konkordiya U20
30.07 22:00 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Apabla SC U20 46:84 ADIEE/ Avay / FME U20
0 Wins
2 Losses
44.5 Scored
77.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Our Joinville U20
L L
31.07 23:30 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Our Joinville U20 48:86 ADIEE/ Avay / FME U20
30.07 23:30 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Our Joinville U20 46:81 AKOB Konkordiya U20
0 Wins
2 Losses
47.0 Scored
83.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage