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Brazil. U20. Catarinense
Brazil. U20. Catarinense International
31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Catarinense

International

Our Joinville U20 - ADIEE / Avai / FME U20

International Basketball
Our Joinville U20
Our Joinville U20
48 : 86
Finished
ADIEE / Avai / FME U20
ADIEE / Avai / FME U20

Our Joinville U20 take on ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 on July 31, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Catarinense, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Our Joinville U20 0-0-1, ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 16% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 ADIEE / Avai / FME U2084%

Pure model vs market (2 · ADIEE / Avai / FME U20): model 61% · market 86% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Our Joinville U2015.9%
market14%
2 · ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 ✓ Pick84.1%
market86%

Model estimate: win Our Joinville U20 15.9%, win ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 84.1%. Model favourite — ADIEE / Avai / FME U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Our Joinville U20 - ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ADIEE / Avai / FME U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: ADIEE / Avai / FME U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.45 / 2 1.08
  • Glicko: Our Joinville U20 15.9% / ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 84.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 14.3%
2 ✓ Pick 85.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 6.00 ↑ 6.45
Winner 2 1.09 ↓ 1.08

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 14.3% @ 6.45 / 2 85.7% @ 1.08
Form 2 matches
Match center

Our Joinville U20 - ADIEE / Avai / FME U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 48:86
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 84.1% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.051 / LogLoss 0.173
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 63.6% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.264 / LogLoss 0.452
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 63.6% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.264 / LogLoss 0.452
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 63.6% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.264 / LogLoss 0.452
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Our Joinville U20 14.2% 15.9%
ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 85.8% 84.1% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 15.9% / 84.1% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,764 Our Joinville U20 / ADIEE / Avai / FME U20
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 654-1,818 / 1,182-2,346 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 84.1%
1 6.45 Fonbet · no value · model 15.9%
Total
Over 120.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 120.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 120.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 120.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
6.45 15.5% 6.60 15.2%
1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Our Joinville U20
L
30.07 23:30 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
Our Joinville U20 46:81 AKOB Konkordiya U20
0 Wins
1 Losses
46.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
ADIEE / Avai / FME U20
W
30.07 22:00 UTC Brazil. Do 20 let. Katarinense
ADIEE / Avai / FME U20 84:46 Apabla U20
1 Wins
0 Losses
84.0 Scored
46.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage