Brazil. U22. Championship
SC Corinthians Paulista U22 - PATO U22
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 PATO U22 — 83%
Pure model vs market (2 · PATO U22): model 51% · market 12% Δ +39 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win SC Corinthians Paulista U22 16.7%, win PATO U22 83.3%. Model favourite — PATO U22.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Corinthians Paulista U22 - PATO U22 July 29, 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Corinthians Paulista U22.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.50
- Glicko: SC Corinthians Paulista U22 16.7% / PATO U22 83.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SC Corinthians Paulista U22 - PATO U22
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 121.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 124.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 126.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 127.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 128.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 129.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 130.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 132.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 133.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 134.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 135.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 136.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 137.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 139.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 140.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 141.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.50 15.4% | 1.06 94.3% | 6.50 15.4% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | 7.50 13.3% | 1.08 92.6% |
SC Corinthians Paulista U22
PATO U22
Full head-to-head historySC Corinthians Paulista U22 - PATO U22
Match history
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