Pinheiros meet Mogi das Cruzes on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Liga Paulista, International.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Mogi das Cruzes — 51%
51%2
1 · Pinheiros49.3%
2 · Mogi das Cruzes50.7%
Model estimate: win Pinheiros 49.3%, win Mogi das Cruzes 50.7%. Model favourite — Mogi das Cruzes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Pinheiros - Mogi das Cruzes August 5, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mogi das Cruzes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.17
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
121.0%
279.0%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P14.40→ 4.40
Winner P21.17→ 1.17
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market1 21.0% @ 4.40 / 2 79.0% @ 1.17
Form2 matches
Match center
Pinheiros - Mogi das Cruzes
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form2/2
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Pinheiros21.0%49.3%
Mogi das Cruzes79.0%50.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.17
Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
14.40
Fonbet · weak value +116.7% · model 49.3%
Total
Over 148.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 149.51.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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