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Bulgaria: NBL - Playoff
Bulgaria: NBL - Playoff
20.05.2026 14:15 UTC Match prediction
20.05.2026 14:15 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria: NBL - Playoff

Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Basketball
Rilski Sportist
Rilski Sportist
87 : 92
Finished
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv May 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.40 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 12.2%
2 87.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Arena Samokov (Samokov)
Referee Velikov V. 🇧🇴 - Horozov M. 🇧🇴 - Nuchev S. 🇧🇴
Start 20.05.2026 14:15 UTC
Match center

Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
2.50 40.0%
2.90 34.5%
2.95 33.9%
2.70 37.0%
1.95 51.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.35 42.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.43 69.9%
1.37 73.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.45 69.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.42 70.4%
1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 85.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 168.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 169.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 170.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 171.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 172.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 173.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 174.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 175.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 176.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 177.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 178.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 179.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 180.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 182.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 183.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 186.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.40 13.5%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Rilski Sportist
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Rilski Sportist 2:0 (8) Beroe
1/4 (4) Lokomotiv Plovdiv streak (5) Botev 2012
1/4 (2) Balkan streak (7) Minyor
1/4 (3) Cherno More streak (6) Spartak Pleven