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Canada. CEBL
Canada. CEBL
31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

Canada. CEBL

Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions

Basketball
Calgary Surge
Calgary Surge
- : -
Not started
Niagara River Lions
Niagara River Lions
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Calgary Surge58%

1 · Calgary Surge ✓ Pick58.5%
market51%
2 · Niagara River Lions41.5%
market49%

Model estimate: win Calgary Surge 58.5%, win Niagara River Lions 41.5%. Model favourite — Calgary Surge.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Calgary Surge (odds1.87) Score 81:79 confidence 58%
  • Calgary Surge: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • Niagara River: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Calgary Surge: probability 58% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Calgary Surge. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / 2 1.98

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 ✓ Pick 51.4%
2 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Calgary Surge
1-9LLLLLLLWLL
points for 88.3points against 97.4
Niagara River Lions
1-4LLLLW
points for 86.1points against 90.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Calgary Surge 51.4% 58.5% market and model agree
Niagara River Lions 48.6% 41.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.5% / 41.5% probabilities
Rating 1,797 / 1,626 Calgary Surge / Niagara River Lions
RD 151 / 114 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,495-2,099 / 1,397-1,855 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 1.87 | edge 7.0% | ROI 9.3% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 41.5%
1 1.87 market consensus · value +9.3% · model 58.5%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
1.98 50.5%
Match center
Calgary Surge
W W W L W
26.07 20:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge 101:88 Edmonton StingersEdmonton Stingers
24.07 23:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge 101:88 Edmonton StingersEdmonton Stingers
21.07 23:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge 93:86 Vancouver BanditsVancouver Bandits
19.07 20:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge 99:116 Saskatoon Mamba
17.07 23:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge 93:85 Winnipeg Sea BearsWinnipeg Sea Bears
4 Wins
1 Losses
97.4 Scored
92.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Niagara River Lions
L W L L W
29.07 23:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Niagara River Lions 83:94 Saskatoon Mamba
26.07 17:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Niagara River Lions 106:102 Ottava BlekdzheksOttava Blekdzheks
24.07 21:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Niagara River Lions 75:82 Scarborough Shooting Stars
18.07 17:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Niagara River Lions 91:102 Edmonton StingersEdmonton Stingers
16.07 21:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Niagara River Lions 99:90 Brampton Honey BadgersBrampton Honey Badgers
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.8 Scored
94.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCalgary Surge - Niagara River Lions

Calgary Surge
1 matches total
Niagara River Lions
Calgary Surge: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Niagara River Lions: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Niagara River 76:88 (03.06 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 164 goals (76:88, 03.06 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

03.06 21:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Calgary Surge
76:88
Niagara River